Home » #model3

Tag: #model3

Tesla Model 3 Tesla's Stock Price

Tesla Wants To Win And Is Focused On The Long-Term – That Is Not Bizarre

Tesla Wants To Win And Is Focused On The Long-Term – That Is Not Bizarre

Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own shares of Tesla

The headlines of a bizarre Tesla earnings call seem more bizarre than the actual call. Yes, Elon was a little bit more fired up than in other conference calls, but we have also seen him be that way on Twitter recently too. I’m not going to get into debates about Tesla stock valuation, because there is no middle ground, people either hate the stock or love it. I happen to love the stock, and the company, and what they are doing. Not because they are green, but because they are making awesome cars, that have awesome technology, and are a disrupting the entire auto industry, not to mention they are also a technology company reinventing the use of battery technology. And, people want the car, and it is flourishing.

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This FREE Commentary In Your E-Mail! 

 

Reviewing the Call

The one thing from the call that seemed crystal clear to me, he is focused on driving profitability. At around the 1-hour mark in an exchange with Phil Lebeau of CNBC, he commented on becoming profitable, and not being a real company until they are profitable. Then a few minutes later,  Ben Kallo of Baird, asked a question about getting an update on when Tesla hit 3 or 4k model 3 ‘s per week. Elon appeared to be frustrated by the amount leaks coming from out of Tesla. Additionally, he made it clear he is not interested in the short-term nature of investors, but the longer-term goals.


Right

In some regards, he is right, because in the past I have often complained that there has been too much made about whether the company missed it deliveries numbers by 500 cars, or beat by 500 vehicles. Because at the end of the day, the only thing that matters is that the longer-term trend is continuing to rise, and to this point, Tesla has been able to do just that. Revenue has continued to rise, production has continued to increase, and the number of cars on the road is continually growing. In fact, in the past two days, I have seen a Model 3 at least once each day. The Model S and X I see multiple times a day and are just as commonplace as any other luxury car.


To some extent, it comes down to the long-term focus of the direction of the company overall, and not whether they hit some number or not a week early or a week late.

If anything, from listening to that call, it was the most firey I have ever heard him, and he seems more focused than ever on driving profitable, I don’t call that bizarre, I call that competitive and wanting to win.

You can call it whatever you want, but that is how I see it.

Night

-Mike

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This FREE Commentary In Your E-Mail! 

 

Advertisements

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2018 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

#tesla #model3

Advertisements
Earnings take center stage

It Is Time For Earnings To Take Center Stage

It Is Time For Earnings To Take Center Stage

Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Capital own GOOGL

Earnings take center state with companies like Facebook reporting today, and tomorrow we get Microsoft, Intel, and Amazon. It doesn’t get much bigger, and Facebook didn’t disappoint.

But first…

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This FREE Commentary In Your E-Mail! 

 

Broader Markets

The S&P 500 continued to bounce around today, with the index finishing the day slightly higher up about 20 bps. The index managed to stay on the breakout side of the of the downtrend we crossed on April 11, and it has acted as support, to this point.

spx

Mott Capital Management, Michael Kramer

Mott Capital’s Reading The Markets

An In-depth Global Macro Premium Stock Market Commentary

In Video Format- See How Michael Dissects The Markets

Premium Subscription Based Membership

Just $200 Per Year – Get Your Free 2 Week Trial

VIX

Meanwhile, the VIX has remained on the other side of 20, and that is also a positive.

vix


Facebook

Facebook, may have put some questions to rest, with its strong quarterly results. The company reported daily active user was up 13 percent to 1.45 billion on average. The second quarter will give a better reading of active users post the data scandal, but my gut suggests that the impact will be minmal, at least from my usage, and I have noticed a slowdown in my friends ussage either.

Revenue for the quarter grew to $11.97 billion, versus estimates of $11.41 billion. EPS came in better than expected, at $1.69, vs. estimates of $1.35.  Shares were up about $12 in the after-hours trading around $171. I got the retest of $150; post-results wrong!


AMD

Another call I got completely wrong was AMD, shares of that one are jumping after hours as well, to around $10.70. The company reported better than expected earnings per share of $0.11 per share, vs. estimates of $0.09 per share. Meanwhile, revenue also topped estimates at $1.65 billion, vs. estimates of $1.57 billion. The company also sees revenue in the second quarter at $1.725 billion, better than estimates of $1.57 billion.

0 for 2, out of five earnings predictions, and if you count Alphabet from Monday, that makes 0 for 3.

Advertisements

Tomorrow

Tomorrow Amazon, Microsoft, and Intel report. I think if Intel can put a good report on the back of Texas Instruments, and Qualcomm it will give the semis a good jolt. The group has been walloped in recent days and needs to some positive newsflow.


Boeing

Boeing had a nice bounce today following its strong results, but the stock action didn’t impress me so much. Shares where up about 4 percent, basically regain the lost ground from yesterday.

boeing


Cat

To this point, Caterpillar has been able to stay above support at $143, and I think that is a huge positive. It is a critical level for the stock.

cat

Advertisements

Yield

Finally, the 10-year got to a significant level today, right around 3.04 percent. We could see a considerable acceleration higher if we rise much above current levels.

That’s it.

-Mike

Mott Capital’s Reading The Markets – An In-depth Global Macro Stock Market Commentary – In Video Format – See How Michael Dissects The Markets

Just $200 Per Year – Get Your Free 2 Week Trial

Recent Videos:

The Market Continues To Sink

It’s Back! Apple Investors Are Worried Once Again

A Review Of Netflix, IBM And Earnings Outlook

Taking A Look The Banks, And Prepping For Earnings Season

Passive Investing May Not Work In 2018

Stock Surge, A Breakout Is Close

Trade War Worries Returns

Free Articles Written By Mike:

Microsoft Traders See 10% Stock Drop as Earnings Near

Why Biogen’s Stock Rebound Is Good News for Biotechs

Netflix Stock Seen Rising 11% Amid Raised Forecasts

Micron, Intel Seen Rebounding 10% Short Term

Merck Shares Seen Rising 12% as Profits Jump

Chipmaker Stocks May Fall 10% Over the Short Term

Biotech Stocks Face a Steep Drop

AMD’s Stock Faces 14% Swings on Uncertain Earnings

Traders Bet Qualcomm’s NXP Takeover Will Fail

Apple’s Stock Sharp Decline May Be an Overreaction

Facebook Bulls Forecast Massive Gains for Stock

Why Qualcomm’s Stock Bulls May Be Dreaming

eBay Options Traders See 15% Stock Drop Ahead

Why FedEx Stock Is Ready to Fly

Verizon’s Stock Breakout May Lead To 12% Gain

eBay Options Traders See 15% Stock Drop Ahead

Salesforce Options Traders Bet Stock Will Rise 11%

Why American Express Shares May Jump 14%

Why Micron’s Stock Is Running Out of Gas

Why Big Bank Stocks Are About to Crumble

Why McDonald’s Stock Turnaround May Fizzle

Square’s Stock Is Facing Steeper Declines

Netflix’s Breakout May Boost Stock to Record Highs

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! Subscribe

-OR-

[vc_tweetmeme type=”follow” follow_user=”michaelmottcm” show_followers_count=”true” large_button=”true”]

 

Photo credit via Flickr

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2018 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #stockmarket #tesla #chips #stocks #model3 #netflix #verizon #ibm 

It Is Simple Some Stocks Are Just Overvalued, It Is Obvious!

It Is Simple Some Stocks Are Just Overvalued, It Is Obvious!

It Is Simple Some Stocks Are Just Overvalued, It Is Obvious!

Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Capital own shares of GOOGL and UL 

Volatility continues in 2018, and again the narrative around the reasons for the volatility continues to shift. Earnings have not been too bad so far, but still, the significant results continue to roll out the rest of this week and next. So it is yet to be seen what direction earnings will keep sending the market. But in some cases it is crystal clear why stocks are going, they are merely overvalued, and no I am not talking about the FANG’s, nor most of the Techs. I’m talking about staples and industrials like Boeing, McDonalds and Home Depot.

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This FREE Commentary In Your E-Mail! 

 

Wait, What?

Listening to the TV all afternoon, I got the impression that investors seemed surprised that 2018 would be the peak regarding earnings growth from a percentage standpoint. It has always seemed fairly obvious to me that 2018, earnings growth was being aided higher by the one-year tax benefit, and that growth would return to “normal” growth rates in 2019. The rate of growth in 2019 is undoubtedly nothing to dismiss, because as of right now that growth is expected to be around 10 percent, and with an S&P 500 trading at roughly 15.5 times 2019 earnings estimates, the stock market seems relatively cheap.

Mott Capital Management, Michael Kramer

Mott Capital’s Reading The Markets

An In-depth Global Macro Premium Stock Market Commentary

In Video Format- See How Michael Dissects The Markets

Premium Subscription Based Membership

Just $200 Per Year – Get Your Free 2 Week Trial

Economic Slowdown?

To this point, I see no evidence of an economic slowdown. A company like Unilever saw pretty good growth in its first quarter with sales growth and volume growth of 3.4 percent, which again is a pretty healthy number for a company of its size, while emerging markets grew at a much faster pace.


Just Overvalued

I think in some cases, there are merely stocks that advanced so much ahead of these big earnings expectations, now it is time to sell the news.

BA Chart

BA data by YCharts

Companies like Home Depot, Boeing, McDonald’s, Lockheed Martin, Caterpillar were all up tremendous amount from the start of 2017 through the end of January 2018, much more than the S&P 500.  Boeing even now is up nearly 112 percent since the beginning of 2017! 112 percent! It and the others like it are trading at some of their highest earnings multiples in some time, and in some cases, those companies still need to see further multiple contractions.


Slowing Growth

The market is also looking to the future, and while Caterpillar is seen growing earnings in 2018 by over 36 percent, those earnings are seen rising by only 13 percent next year, while Boeings earnings growth is seen slowing from 37 percent to just 18 percent next year, while revenue is seen climbing only 5 percent! Better keep buying back that stock or improving margins. Home Depot is no different going from 27 percent to only 7 percent.

BA PE Ratio (Forward 1y) Chart

BA PE Ratio (Forward 1y) data by YCharts

How do you feel about paying 20 times one-year forwards earnings for growth in the mid to high single digits? Yeah, they are expensive. I have been saying this about McDonald’s for quite some time, with its monster earnings growth of about 14 percent in 2018, on an 8 percent drop in revenue! Give me a break; the stock is up nearly 30 percent! And it is no different for any of the others, and these are just a few.  The Banks may be another group in the same situation.

Advertisements

Google or McDonald’s

Right now it would seem the selling is indiscriminate, but the cream will rise to the top, because companies like Alphabet are seen growing by 22 percent in 2018, slowing to 17 percent in 2019, on 11.5 percent revenue growth,  while trading at only 21 times, so I ask,  would you rather own Alphabet or McDonald’s? Alphabet every day of the week hands down.

If McDonald’s can trade at 19 times earnings than Alphabet must be the steal of a lifetime.


Moving on then to other topics….

VIX

The VIX got right back to nearly 20 today, before backing off. Remember 20 has been a support/resistance line, and the fact that it backed off is at that level is good.

vix

The S&P 500 also managed to find a bounce at least for today off its downtrend.

Advertisements

Technology

The technology earnings are going to be extemely important the rest of this week, because the setup in the technology ETF XLK looks really bad. I’m hoping that is not a head and shoulder formation, because if it is then a fall back to $61 or further could be in the cards. With all the big results this week, those results could be a tipping point for the group.

technology

The one piece of good news so far is that Texas Insrutuments appeared to report solid results and for now at least the stock is finding a bounce.


Facebook

The big one tomorrow will be Facebook, and the stock melted today, falling below support at $161.50. It could be headed back to retesting the lows around $150. The chart clearly shows the stock was unable to rise above resisntacnce around $168.

facebook


Apple

Apple fell again today, and now sits at $163, and the company still has a week to go before results. Apple’s results can not come soon enough.

Micron

Micron staged a head fake breakout on April, 18 and it has been nothing but down since that time. Is there a rise in Micron’s shares in the future? I’m not sure, but the chart looks pretty weak, at current levels, and more declines may be in store.

micron

Advertisements

Amazon

Amazon shares continue to trend lower too, and they are expected to report Thursday after the close. The chart like the others looks fairly weak. The earnings will matter  a great deal when they are released. We can see we back to within $1440 on the chart, and that again is an important level for the stock.

amazon

That is it!

-Mike

 

Mott Capital’s Reading The Markets – An In-depth Global Macro Stock Market Commentary – In Video Format – See How Michael Dissects The Markets

Just $200 Per Year – Get Your Free 2 Week Trial

Recent Videos:

The Market Continues To Sink

It’s Back! Apple Investors Are Worried Once Again

A Review Of Netflix, IBM And Earnings Outlook

Taking A Look The Banks, And Prepping For Earnings Season

Passive Investing May Not Work In 2018

Stock Surge, A Breakout Is Close

Trade War Worries Returns

Free Articles Written By Mike:

Netflix Stock Seen Rising 11% Amid Raised Forecasts

Micron, Intel Seen Rebounding 10% Short Term

Merck Shares Seen Rising 12% as Profits Jump

Chipmaker Stocks May Fall 10% Over the Short Term

Biotech Stocks Face a Steep Drop

AMD’s Stock Faces 14% Swings on Uncertain Earnings

Traders Bet Qualcomm’s NXP Takeover Will Fail

Apple’s Stock Sharp Decline May Be an Overreaction

Facebook Bulls Forecast Massive Gains for Stock

Why Qualcomm’s Stock Bulls May Be Dreaming

eBay Options Traders See 15% Stock Drop Ahead

Why FedEx Stock Is Ready to Fly

Verizon’s Stock Breakout May Lead To 12% Gain

eBay Options Traders See 15% Stock Drop Ahead

Salesforce Options Traders Bet Stock Will Rise 11%

Why American Express Shares May Jump 14%

Why Micron’s Stock Is Running Out of Gas

Why Big Bank Stocks Are About to Crumble

Why McDonald’s Stock Turnaround May Fizzle

Square’s Stock Is Facing Steeper Declines

Netflix’s Breakout May Boost Stock to Record Highs

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! Subscribe

-OR-

[vc_tweetmeme type=”follow” follow_user=”michaelmottcm” show_followers_count=”true” large_button=”true”]

 

Photo credit via Flickr

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2018 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #stockmarket #tesla #chips #stocks #model3 #netflix #verizon #ibm 

Chip stocks continue to sink, tesla register 5,000 model 3's

Chip Stocks Continue To Sink, Tesla Registers 5,000 Model 3’s

Chip Stocks Continue To Sink, Tesla Registers 5,000 Model 3’s

Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Capital own shares of VZ, TSLA, NFLX, and GOOGL

The S&P 500 managed to finish the day flat, and for the most part, this 2,670 level on the S&P 500 continues to hold.

Mott Capital Management, Michael Kramer

Mott Capital’s Reading The Markets

An In-depth Global Macro Premium Stock Market Commentary

In Video Format- See How Michael Dissects The Markets

Premium Subscription Based Membership

Just $200 Per Year – Get Your Free 2 Week Trial

Chip Stocks

The semi companies continue to struggle, with the SOXX down by over 1.3 percent, but some stocks were down by far more. The chart on the Soxx ETF surely doesn’t look great, and the big test for the ETF comes around $167.

chips

The relative strength index is still trending lower, and unless Intel, Qualcomm, and Texas Instruments can say something more positive, it might hard to turn the direction of this group.

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This FREE Commentary In Your E-Mail! 

 

Verizon

Verizon reports results tomorrow, and what will be the most thing that comes from the report? Well, any commentary the companies give around the upgrade cycle of smartphones will be interesting. Remember it was Verizon that told us last quarter, that they saw an elongation of the upgrade cycle. That will give us a good sense of where we stand with the chip stocks until we find out details on next iPhone launch from Apple.


Tesla

Tesla registered over 5,100 new VIN with NHTSA, which is the highest total I can remember. This comes after the company shut production for a week. Again, we will need to see what that number the next time they register VIN’s, and just how much time has passed. That could help us get a handle on the weekly production rate.

 


Netflix

Did Netflix the gap today? Maybe, it sure was impressive where the stock stopped falling and where it stabilized.

netflix


IBM

IBM shares have struggled since its quarterly results, for apparent reason, but the stock is pretty close to having an even bigger fallout.

Ibm

Advertisements

Alphabet

Finally, Alphabet reported strong results beating on both the top and bottom line. But for now, investors are not happy enough to send shares higher in the after-hours. The stock is mostly flat at that moment. I haven’t had the chance to dig through the numbers yet, but when I do will be sure to share any feedback, if I should anything worth noting.

Mott Capital’s Reading The Markets – An In-depth Global Macro Stock Market Commentary – In Video Format – See How Michael Dissects The Markets

Just $200 Per Year – Get Your Free 2 Week Trial

Recent Videos:

It’s Back! Apple Investors Are Worried Once Again

A Review Of Netflix, IBM And Earnings Outlook

Taking A Look The Banks, And Prepping For Earnings Season

Passive Investing May Not Work In 2018

Stock Surge, A Breakout Is Close

Trade War Worries Returns

Free Articles Written By Mike:

Chipmaker Stocks May Fall 10% Over the Short Term

Biotech Stocks Face a Steep Drop

AMD’s Stock Faces 14% Swings on Uncertain Earnings

Traders Bet Qualcomm’s NXP Takeover Will Fail

Apple’s Stock Sharp Decline May Be an Overreaction

Facebook Bulls Forecast Massive Gains for Stock

Why Qualcomm’s Stock Bulls May Be Dreaming

eBay Options Traders See 15% Stock Drop Ahead

Why FedEx Stock Is Ready to Fly

Verizon’s Stock Breakout May Lead To 12% Gain

eBay Options Traders See 15% Stock Drop Ahead

Salesforce Options Traders Bet Stock Will Rise 11%

Why American Express Shares May Jump 14%

Why Micron’s Stock Is Running Out of Gas

Why Big Bank Stocks Are About to Crumble

Why McDonald’s Stock Turnaround May Fizzle

Square’s Stock Is Facing Steeper Declines

Netflix’s Breakout May Boost Stock to Record Highs

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! Subscribe

-OR-

[vc_tweetmeme type=”follow” follow_user=”michaelmottcm” show_followers_count=”true” large_button=”true”]

 

Photo credit via Flickr

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2018 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #stockmarket #tesla #chips #stocks #model3 #netflix #verizon #ibm 

netflix subscriber growth tesla model 3

Netflix Subscriber Growth and Tesla Model 3 Ramp May Be Accelerating


Netflix Subscriber Growth and Tesla Model 3 Ramp May Be Accelerating

Attention will soon be turning towards Netflix, which is expected to report results on Monday, April 16. Analysts are looking earnings to climb by nearly 56 percent for the quarter, while revenue is expected to rise by almost 40 percent, versus last year.

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This FREE Commentary In Your E-Mail! 

 

Netflix Subscriber Growth

When it comes to subscribers, the company is guiding for 123.93 million, making for net adds of 6.35 million. When using Google trends, and Netflix subscriptions as a search term, we find that search term has been trend higher in recent weeks. Although it is not nearly as high as around Christmas, the trend is noticeable moving higher, and the keyword is much more widely search today, than a year ago.

(Google)

India?

The biggest interest, to no surprise, is surging from overseas.  India seems to be breaking out, according to the table from Google, and India is a potentially a huge market for Netflix.

(Google)

The results will surely be important for Netflix when the company reports next Monday the on April 16.


Tesla

Tesla Model 3 production continues to ramp-up according to the latest number of VINS reports to NHTSA.

Interestingly on March 23, Tesla registered 2,655 VINS, and then a week later they registered 2,041 on March 30. In its delivery report, Tesla produced 2,020 Model 3 from March 26 through April 2 and noted it planned to build 2,000 more the following week. So perhaps the number of VINS registered each week serves as pretty good guide to what the weekly production rate is. Although not perfect, because Tesla does skip over VINS numbers.


New VINS

Tesla registered nearly 4,800 VINS on April 5 and quickly turned around and registered another 2,900 VINS on April 6. Has production climbed over 3,000 per week, over the past week? Not sure about that, but it would certainly be interest to see if Tesla comes back and registers more VINS next week, giving a sense of a trend. But regardless it would suggest that production is accerlating.

Another week of strong VIN registration may be enough to catch the bears attention, and for the short-sellers to really start sweating.

Well, get all our answers soon enough.

-Mike

Advertisements


Mott Capital’s Reading The Markets – An In-depth Global Macro Stock Market Commentary – In Video Format – See How Michael Dissects The Markets

Just $200 Per Year – Get Your Free 2 Week Trial

Recent Videos:

Trade War Worries Returns

Stock Market Rallies, Is It For Real?

Today’s Rally Looks Fragile

What Is Going On With The Stock Market! It Is Insanity!

Put On Your Rally Hats

The Bottom Is Close

Where Does The Stock Market Go From Here

Free Articles Written By Mike:

Biotech’s Exact Sciences Seen Plunging 25%

Micron Options Traders Bet Stock Will Rise 14%

Disney’s Stock Seen Rising by 17%

Qualcomm Options Traders Looking for 13% Decline

Netflix Options Traders Are Looking for a Big Rebound

Why the VIX Index Is a Bullish Sign for Stocks

Apple Stock Faces 10% Short-Term Pullback

4 Consumer Stocks That May Plunge to New Lows

Broadcom’s Battered Stock Poised for 12% Rebound

Boeing’s Stock Seen Falling Into Bear Market

IBM Traders See Stock Plunging 20%

3 Hot Biotech Stocks Facing Sharp Declines

Under Armour’s Stock Still Has Further to Fall

Intel Traders Face Big Losses As Chipmaker’s Stock Drops

Why Facebook Stock May Rebound By 25%

Amazon’s Stock May Plunge 10% Further

Tech Stocks’ Growth Engine Faces a Big Slowdown

3 Big Biotech Stocks Poised for More Declines

Why Chip Stocks May Rebound to Record Highs

Take-Two Stock Seen Rising 20% on E-Sports Demand

Square’s Soaring Stock Is Due for a Correction

Nike’s Stock Bulls May Get Burned

Why AMD Options Traders Are Bearish Long Term

Improving Earnings Will Push Stock Prices Higher

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! Subscribe

-OR-

[vc_tweetmeme type=”follow” follow_user=”michaelmottcm” show_followers_count=”true” large_button=”true”]

Michael Kramer and Clients of Mott capital own shares of TSLA and NFLX

Photo credit via Flickr

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2018 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #tesla #model3 #netflix #subscribers

amazon exact sciences bitcoin

Amazon, Exact Sciences, and Bitcoin Are Poised To Fall – Daily Commentary

Advertisements

Amazon, Exact Sciences, and Bitcoin Are Poised To Fall – Daily Commentary

Mott Capital Management, Michael Kramer

Mott Capital’s Reading The Markets

An In-depth Global Macro Premium Stock Market Commentary

In Video Format- See How Michael Dissects The Markets

Premium Subscription Based Membership

Just $200 Per Year – Get Your Free 2 Week Trial

S&P 500

Like I said yesterday, the S&P 500 was nearing a breakout, and it did today rising over 2,807, closing at 2,810.

[vc_tweetmeme type=”follow” follow_user=”michaelmottcm” show_followers_count=”true” large_button=”true”] 

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! 

Tesla

After having a mild pullback yesterday, Tesla is making its assault on $350 and appears once again ready to break out. The trend in Tesla continues higher, as news spreads of the Model 3 making its way to the east coast showrooms.

tesla

Shares continue to act extremely well despite the negative news flow, and with earnings for the company likely around the corner, I’m not sure that it will get any better. The company is yet to announce when that day will be, but inevitably the burn rate and cash will be the key.

The chart below shows how short interest had been steadily increasing over the past several weeks, but has now started to decline.

TSLA Short Interest Chart

TSLA Short Interest data by YCharts

Exact Sciences

Exact Sciences shares continue to stall out below support at $49.25, and the longer they start below support, the more likely it becomes for the stock to keep moving lower. The news the other day about the new liquid-screening test for Colon Cancer, even thought in the development phase, has rattled the market.

But for now, as the chart below shows, revenue estimates have continued to trend higher, with no evidence that analysts are starting to trim the outlook. So perhaps the market is just rethinking the current valuation for the company. We will need to continue to watch this.

EXAS Revenue Estimates for Next Fiscal Year Chart

EXAS Revenue Estimates for Next Fiscal Year data by YCharts

Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley shares have entirely busted out, rising well above resistance at $55, after reporting solid results. Shares could be well on their to $70

morgan Stanley


Sign-up for our premium content on Seeking Alpha Market Place – “Reading The Markets”  and a get Two Week Free Trial Period

Premium Content: Benefits include the ability to reach out to Mike with questions through a chat room, direct message, or comments. 

Now JUST $25 Per Month Or $200 Per Year – Get Your Free 2-Week Trial Now!

Subscriber Mail Bag

Euro’s Big Breakout

Inflation, Tesla Plus So Much More

Predicting The Euro’s Rise 


Amazon

Amazon shares look set to fall, with the stock falling through its uptrend, and has a relative strength index reading at 76 on the daily chart. A decline to 1,190 would be about 5 percent from its current level. A fall to 1,250 offers a support region and is only a 3 percent decline. With the stock going into earnings I couldn’t see it falling 5 percent but could come into play after earnings.

amazon

Bitcoin

Bitcoin continues to fail at 11,800; it just doesn’t have enough juice left. The volume is drying up, and the RSI is heading lower. Not a good sign or setup for Bitcoin here.

bitcoin

Yield

Ten-year yields are now at 2.65 and seem heading even higher. 3 percent is coming.

yield

That’s it. See ya!

Free Articles Written By Mike:

Netflix Investors May Be Getting Too Bullish On The Stock

Why Chipmaker Lam Research Is Poised For a Rebound

How a Juno Takeover Could Boost Celgene

Why Facebook Stock Looks Like a Bargain

Why Ford Could Rise By Nearly 30%

Why Morgan Stanley’s Stock Is Poised to Rise by 25%

Apple Poised to Gain 14%, Defying Skeptics

Exxon Mobil May Rise 20% on the Back of Surging Oil

Qualcomm’s Stock Heads to a Crossroads

We offer daily market commentaries sent directly to your inbox or follow us on Twitter.

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! Subscribe

-OR-

[vc_tweetmeme type=”follow” follow_user=”michaelmottcm” show_followers_count=”true” large_button=”true”]

Photo Credit Via Flickr

Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capial own shares of Tesla

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2017 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #sp500 #bitcoin #amazon #exact #sciences #morganstanley #tesla #model3 

Tesla Model 3 Tesla's Stock Price

Tesla Stock Escapes From Model 3 Disaster – Premium Content

Advertisements

Tesla Stock Escapes From Model 3 Disaster

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! Subscribe

[vc_tweetmeme type=”follow” follow_user=”michaelmottcm” show_followers_count=”true” large_button=”true”]

Tesla provided terrible Model 3 results and guidance following the completion of the fourth quarter, yet the stock has performed extremely well. In this video, we go several reasons why, and what that might mean for the stock going forward.


On-Demand Content

Apple iPhone Shipment Maybe Better Than Feared

Why Biotech May Outperform In 2018 

Thinking About 2018


Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Capital own shares of $TSLA

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2017 Mott Capital Management, LLC. Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

#Tesla #model3

Tesla

Tesla Bears Just Don’t Get It!

Tesla Bears Just Don’t Get It!

Congrats to all the nay-sayer who said Elon Musk and Tesla would fail and never be able to produce the Model 3 in volume. For one quarter they have nailed it. Even more prominent congrats to the people who would like to continue to focus on how the Chevy Bolt continues to perform so well, with its tremendous 23,297 in total deliveries in the year 2017. Wow.

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! Subscribe

Crushing It

Here is the thing that none of the naysayers want to acknowledge. Tesla’s total sales for Model S and X grew in 2017 by 33 percent to 101,312. Meanwhile, Audi A8 sales were down by nearly 25 percent in 2017 to a total of only 3,127, and BMW 7 Series declined by 28 percent to 9,276 units.

So while the naysayers can focus on the light Model 3 “estimates”, lets focus on the reality that Model S and X sales continue to be strong in a very bad luxury auto market. One that has been now been bad all-year. Let’s focus on the fact, that Tesla is beating Audi and BMW and all the other luxury automakers in sales.

Investing For The Long Game

Investors don’t invest in a company for a month or quarter; they invest in a company for years. As a long-term investor in Tesla, the only thing I care about is that the company is growing and making progress and continuing to push forward. This fixation the street and so-called investors have with Tesla missing delivery estimates by one or two units is the only thing that is old.

The market speaks louder than the biggest pundits, and the market has made it incredibly clear what it think Tesla should or shouldn’t be worth.

Taking Market Share

To be honest, I was excited to see the Tesla results today because they continue to confirm my belief that Tesla is taking market share from other Automakers. The idea that competition for Tesla will be picking up is the dumbest thing I have ever heard. The competition Tesla now faces is more intense than it will be in the future. A car is a car, whether it uses gasoline or electricity. It is a mode of transportation, and consumers buy cars because they like the way they look, the way the accelerate, the way they handle, and the way it makes them feel.

Period.

Apple iPhone Shipment Maybe Better Than Feared – Premium Content

In this premium video, we use Apple suppliers Broadcom and Jabil to determine the fate of Apple iPhone X shipments.

 

We offer daily market commentaries sent directly to your inbox or follow us on Twitter.

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! Subscribe

-OR-

[vc_tweetmeme type=”follow” follow_user=”michaelmottcm” show_followers_count=”true” large_button=”true”]

Photo Credit Via Flickr

Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Capital own shares of TSLA

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2017 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #tesla #modelS #modelX #model3

tesla micron nvidia roku

Nvidia, Micron, and Roku Are Still Struggling, Tesla Preview

Nvidia, Micron, and Roku Are Still Struggling, Tesla Preview

[vc_tweetmeme type=”follow” follow_user=”michaelmottcm” show_followers_count=”true” large_button=”true”]

Final Thoughts on 2018 Outlook

2018 will be all about earnings growth, inflation watch, and interest rate. Should inflation stay in check, then I think 2018 should be another solid year for the markets.

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! Subscribe

Roku

Roku has officially broken down and moved outside of support. It sets up a potential fall in the stock to $48.50.

ROKU

Chip Stocks

Nvidia

Nvidia has struggled lately and has been unable to regain the level of support it had throughout all of 2017. It surely not a positive sign and there is now a sign of a downtrend forming in the chart, admittedly not a great way to start off the new year.

Nvda

Micron

Micron’s shares have traded poorly post earnings results, far worse than I expected. In fact, the stock is again at risk of a significant fall, should support not hold at $40.50. Part of the reason for the poor performance is the Chip group as a whole has performed so poorly lately. But don’t feel bad, because they have had a monster year. Look at the chart below for proof.

 

Compiled Using YCharts

Count ’em, only three stocks out of the top 25 holdings were down for 2017!  You think 2017 was a good year for the chipmakers?


We Now Have Premium Video’s On-Demand

Mott Capital – Thinking About 2018 from Michael Kramer on Vimeo

We discuss the sectors that are likely to do well to start 2018 and the sector that will lag.


Tesla

By January 3rd, we should have Tesla deliveries numbers, for the Model S, X, and 3. Reports that truckloads of Model 3’s are leaving the plant in California. I have no idea how many Model 3’s will be delivered this quarter, it is anyone’s guess, but for fun, let’s say its 5,000.

micron

Technology

Technology stocks look set to have a pretty slow start to 2018. It needs to get back into that trading channel. That means either a slight downdraft to start the year or flat action until Feb.

technology

S&P 500

Finally, the S&P 500 is going to finish the year right in the box we drew out awhile back. A great finish to a fantastic year.

S&P 500

Read Our 10 Monster Predictions For 2018


Sign-up for our premium content on Seeking Alpha Market Place – “Reading The Markets”  and a get Two Week Free Trial Period

Premium Content: Benefits include the ability to reach out to Mike with questions through a chat room, direct message, or comments. 

We will respond to questions in short order and will respond to questions with full-post or video segment, just not one or two-word answers. 

Just $40 per Month

Disney- The Market Finally Get’s It

Why The FANG’s Could Lead In 2018

Tech Wreck V12.4.17 – More Room Too Fall

Machines Break Loose

Why The S&P500 Could Melt-Up Into Year End

S&P 500 Breakout- 2700?


Free Articles Written By Mike:

Alphabet’s Bull Run May Be Far From Over

Why Alibaba May Rebound by 20% or More in 2018

Why Bitcoin May Plunge 50% Further

AMD and Nvidia, Bitcoin Fears Maybe Overblown

Nike and Home Depot May Be Ready To Fall By 10%

GE’s Stock Investors Should Brace for More Pain

Apple Chipmakers Are Ready To Rebound

Micron’s Earning Blowout May Fuel 14% Stock Rebound

We offer daily market commentaries sent directly to your inbox or follow us on Twitter.

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! Subscribe

-OR-

[vc_tweetmeme type=”follow” follow_user=”michaelmottcm” show_followers_count=”true” large_button=”true”]

Photo Credit Via Flickr

Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Capital own shares of TESLA

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2017 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #nvidia #roku #micron #sp500 #tesla #model3

Tesla Model 3 Tesla's Stock Price

Tesla Model 3, Biotech, Netflix and More-The Monster Daily Commentary

Tesla Model 3, Biotech, Netflix and More- The Monster Daily Commentary

Tesla

Electrek is reporting that there are now hundreds of Tesla’s model 3’s coming out of Fremont facility. The article has a link to a video of a drone flying over the Tesla plant, showing the parking lot filled with Model 3 inventory.

[vc_row css_animation=”” row_type=”row” use_row_as_full_screen_section=”no” type=”full_width” angled_section=”no” text_align=”left” background_image_as_pattern=”without_pattern”][vc_column][vc_tweetmeme type=”follow” follow_user=”michaelmottcm” show_followers_count=”true” large_button=”true”][/vc_column][/vc_row]

The stock is still hanging on at the $330 range, and the next major catalyst for the stock will be the final delivery numbers for 4Q, which come during the first few of days of January. I have no idea what that number will be. But I did drive to my local Tesla, in Manhasset, NY, and was only able to find one of each Model S and X in the parking lot. They usually have a pretty good number of them on hand.

Biotech

The Biotech ETF ($IBB) made an attempt and for a time was able to trade above $107 today. Closing slightly below that market. A positive sign for sure and it could signal a breakout could be coming soon.  

Even the iShares Biotech ($XBI) is starting to look it wants to break out and start rising again.

biotech

The strength came despite Biogen ($BIIB) having a tough day, falling to support at $319. The good for Biogen is that it held support despite some negative data.

biib

Tomorrow looks like it will be Celgene’s ($CELG) turn to weigh on the sector again, as it released some disappointing phase 2 data after the close. The stock was trading down about $5 to $102.

celg

There is a positive in this; it offers us a chance to see how strong the buying is at $102. It was a tough level to crack on the way, up and held support just recently. If the buyers are for real, it likely holds again.

Discretionary Stocks

Discretionary stocks could be about to turn, the chart on the XLY looks troublesome, with declining levels of volume, and a divergent RSI reading.

xly

Stocks like Amazon ($AMZN), Home Depot ($HD), Costco, ($COST) and McDonald’s ($MCD), have had massive years, so a pullback would not be crazy at some point.  Just look at the gains, McDonalds and Home Depot are up almost as much Netflix and Amazon, crazy moves! Huge moves. Watch the XLY for signs.

XLY Chart

XLY data by YCharts

Netflix

Netflix has been trying so hard to break out over $190, and just can’t. It got very close today but just couldn’t hold.

netflix

It has been trying for days now; it just can’t get up enough steam to charge ahead.

 

nflx

Watch Netflix and $190, a rise above and its rallies hard. If can’t get above $190 we may be looking to retest the low $180’s again.

That is going to be all for today.


Sign-up for our premium content on Seeking Alpha Market Place – “Reading The Markets”  and a get Two Week Free Trial Period

Premium Content: Benefits include the ability to reach out to Mike with questions through a chat room, direct message, or comments. 

We will respond to questions in short order and will respond to questions with full-post or video segment, just not one or two-word answers. 

Just $40 per Month

Disney- The Market Finally Get’s It

Why The FANG’s Could Lead In 2018

Tech Wreck V12.4.17 – More Room Too Fall

Machines Break Loose

Why Tesla Could Double, And Nvidia Could Get Cut In Half

Why The S&P500 Could Melt-Up Into Year End

S&P 500 Breakout- 2700?


Free Articles Written By Mike:

Why Verizon’s Bulls Are Even More Bullish

Microsoft Shares May Rise By 17%

Costco May Be Heading Toward a 10% Pullback

Why Intel Is Ready for a 30% Breakout

Apple Chipmakers Are Ready To Rebound

Micron’s Earning Blowout May Fuel 14% Stock Rebound

Why Goldman, Morgan Stanley May Rise At Least 15%

Why Oracle Could Rise 10%

Micron Is Poised To Jump On Earnings, Options Trades Indicate

Tesla May Continue To Rise On Positive Sentiment

AMD May Fall By 20% As Short Interest Surges To 5-Year High

Disney Is Poised to Break Out on Fox Deal

We offer a lot of great commentaries all week talking about the major and relevant market events. Be sure to subscribe to get all our free commentaries sent directly to your inbox or follow us on Twitter.

Join our 571 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! Subscribe

-OR-

[vc_row css_animation=”” row_type=”row” use_row_as_full_screen_section=”no” type=”full_width” angled_section=”no” text_align=”left” background_image_as_pattern=”without_pattern”][vc_column][vc_tweetmeme type=”follow” follow_user=”michaelmottcm” show_followers_count=”true” large_button=”true”][/vc_column][/vc_row]

Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Capital own shares of TSLA and NFLX

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2017 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #tesla #amazon #netflix #model3 #mcdonalds #homedepot