The Bull Rides Again As Global Stocks Break Out From Summer Doldrums
Monster Market Commentary

The Bull Rides Again As Global Stocks Break Out From Summer Doldrums

September 4  – Stock mentions: SPY, EWH, FXI, EWY, EWG, AMZN, AAPL, MU, TSLA

Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own AAPL and TSLA

US Markets

  • S&P 500 Futures +27 points
  • US 10-Year 1.48%
  • VIX 18.24
  • Oil $54.29
  • Dollar Index 98.67

International Markets

  • KOSPI +1.16%
  • Hong Kong +3.9%
  • Shanghai +0.93%
  • Nikkei +0.12%
  • Germany +1.23%
  • UK +0.64%

Stocks in Asia jumped following on headlines that HK is withdrawing the extradition bill that sparked the protest in months ago. 

Hong Kong (EWH)

The result is that Hong Kong rose by almost 4%, and more importantly, rose above the top of the trading range the index has been in since, well, the beginning of August.

Kospi (EWY)

South Korea KOSPI also broke out, rising above the top of the range from August, rising above 1,980.

Shanghai (FXI)

Shanghai also broke out overnight rising above resistance at 2920, and the top of the range since August.

UK

Stocks in Europe are rising too after Boris Johnson lost a critical vote in parliament. It may result in a general election while decreasing the odds of a no-deal Brexit. As a result, the UK FTSE is breaking out rising above the top of the range since, well, the beginning of August. Notice a trend here?

Germany (EWG)

Germany DAX is also rising sharply, also breaking out.

US Markets

S&P 500 (SPY)

That leaves the US markets has the only ones that have yet to take out their August highs. Based on the patterns above, it would seem likely the break out happen here in the US happen, and probably today. The S&P 500 futures show it currently right at resistance at 2935.

Amazon (AMZN)

Amazon is one of the stock that is rising this morning, jumping above $1800, something it has struggled to do. Additionally, the next level would come at $1830, and then $1900.

Apple (AAPL)

Apple is also rising this morning, and rising above $209.50 opens the door to a rise of roughly $214.

Tesla (TSLA)

Tesla broke the downtrend the other day, and now shares continue to look healthy, as the story continues to evolve into a china growth story of all things. The potential is still there for an increase to $250.

Micron (MU)

Micron is breaking out today, rising above its August resistance levels at $45.50. It sets up a jump to around $48.

German 10-year

In the meantime, look at German 10-Year yields rising towards negative 60 basis points.

US/German Spread

Meanwhile, the spread between US and German 10-years is plunging once again and heading towards 2%.

Dollar (DXY)

Now, the dollar is weakening.

Enjoy the day; suddenly, the glass is looking a little more half full.

-Mike

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