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DECEMBER 17, 2019
Stocks- CSCO, MU, NFLX, AMZN, ORCL
Macro- The Recession hits Fantasyland, SPY
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN NFLX AND CSCO
Are we still waiting for the recession, or are we past that now? I don’t hear about it much anymore. At the moment, the Atlanta Fed GDPNow is forecasting 4Q growth of 2.3%. At this rate, if we print a number like that for the fourth quarter, then we will have grown at over 2% in 2019, given the prior quarter’s readings. That isn’t precisely recessionary, or even close to recessionary. Sorry, not sure what to tell you. I have been saying since this time last year, there would be no recession, and sure enough, it never came.
Fantasyland, yes. Reality, no!
Oh well. I think it’s time to move on.
S&P 500 (SPY)
The S&P 500 finished flat today, and there is nothing to say here. The market doesn’t seem to want to go down. With two weeks left and not much on the horizon, it looks like we are getting exactly the opposite of what happened last year. But instead of being sucked into the vacuum of the abyss, we are being pulled up into the atmosphere.
While I don’t know how long this will last, the one thing I am quite sure of is that it will not last forever. But the more significant issue, the more we go up into year-end, the more we take from next year, and the more likely it is we have some kind January/February pullback.
So enjoy these next few weeks if you can. 
Oracle (ORCL)
Things are not going well for Oracle, that is for sure. It sucks too because I had just noted yesterday how I thought the stock would rise — Oracle Shares May Jump By 10% – premium content. Now even the uptrend is broken, $51.85 is looking more likely at this point. Very dissappointing.
Micron (MU)
Hopefully, things go better after Micron reports results. I had seen some bullish betting in this one. Layer on some positive trends in the technicals, and I think the stock could rise following the results. Premium content – Bullish Betting Suggest Micron Rises Following Results
Netflix (NFLX)
Netflix is one that hit my short-term target. Finally, at least something is going my way. The stock jumped to a high of $317.50, over my $316 goal I laid out when the stock was $293 on December 11. Premium content – Netflix Traders Betting On A Rebound
Amazon (AMZN)
Amazon is starting to come around too. I noted some bullish betting on December 9. I’m still thinking we get to $1840, and potentially higher. Premium content – Amazon Is Seeing Bullish Betting, Suggesting 7% Increase Try it and get the first two-weeks for free!
Cisco (CSCO)
Cisco is rising above resistance at $45.65. Is the stock trying to fill the gap? It looks like it. It would be too good to be true if the stock could get back to $48. I’ll take it.
That’s all for today.
-Mike
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
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