Challenging the Mainstream Narrative on Markets
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Latest Analysis
- Fourth-Quarter 2025 Thematic Growth Update
The Thematic Growth Strategy underperformed in 2025 amid AI-driven market speculation, prompting strategic rotations into med-tech and energy while reassessing mega-cap technology exposure. - Markets Brace for a Perfect Storm of Liquidity and Positioning Risk
Heavy Treasury settlements, tightening funding signals, and Nvidia’s earnings could converge to reshape volatility, correlation, and positioning dynamics across the market. - Liquidity Drain Sinks Stocks on February 12
Stocks declined sharply amid heavy settlement flows and elevated dispersion, with volatility levels suggesting potential short-term support but heightened risk around upcoming earnings and next week’s sizable settlements. - Technical Extremes Build Beneath a Calm Index
Rising dispersion, elevated constituent volatility, and overbought sector conditions suggest that while the S&P 500 appears stable on the surface, underlying risks may be building as earnings season progresses. - Stocks Fall Ahead of January Job Report
Stocks drifted lower ahead of the Jobs report as a $40 billion T-bill settlement and elevated one-day volatility weighed on sentiment, with key settlement flows and the VIX 1-Day in focus. - Liquidity Drains and Volatility Set the Stage for a Turnaround Tuesday
U.S. equities finished higher, but upcoming Treasury bill settlements and a likely rebound in short-term implied volatility could create a more challenging trading environment in the days ahead.
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A Decade of Institutional-Grade Market Research
Michael Kramer founded Mott Capital Management and has spent his career analyzing U.S. and international equity markets in high-stakes institutional environments.
His work focuses on publishing detailed research on macro trends shaped by generational and demographic shifts, providing readers with a long-term perspective on how these themes unfold over time.
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In-depth market research since August 2014
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Regular analysis covering central bank policy, global economics & intermarket dynamics
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“Understanding the macro environment is the key to navigating markets. Every trade starts with a thesis, every thesis starts with the data.”— Michael Kramer, Founder
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