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Institutional-grade macroeconomic analysis delivered daily. Options positioning, gamma exposure, dealer hedging flows, and key technical levels — cut through the noise with research where every thesis starts with the data.
Latest Analysis
- Stocks May Face Further Downside as Rates Near Key Breakout
The S&P 500 breaks down from a bear pennant as surging Treasury yields and negative dealer positioning raise the risk of continued market declines. - Stocks Go Nowhere As Bearish Patterns Emerge
The S&P 500 remains range-bound as bearish technical patterns, widening credit spreads, and weak liquidity signals point to increasing downside risks across equities and crypto. - Rising Rates and Weak Sectors Signal Deeper Market Trouble
Oil stabilizes near key technical support while rising rates and persistent sector weakness point to deeper structural challenges across equity markets. - Stocks Rise As Oil Sinks, Options Market Doesn’t Believe It
Stocks rallied as oil sank, but the options market still saw heavy put activity for tomorrow expiration date. - Oversold Signals Clash With a Rapid Shift in Rate Expectations
The S&P 500’s oversold conditions suggest a potential bounce, but rapidly shifting global rate expectations and rising bond volatility point to deeper downside risks. - Oversold Conditions Meet a Relentless Oil Rally
Technical indicators suggest a bounce, but conditions alone do not mean a reversal.
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A Decade of Institutional-Grade Market Research
Michael Kramer founded Mott Capital Management and has spent his career analyzing U.S. and international equity markets in high-stakes institutional environments.
His work focuses on publishing data-driven analysis covering macro trends, options market structure, dealer positioning, and gamma exposure — providing readers with both a long-term perspective and a quantitative edge in understanding market mechanics.
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“Understanding the macro environment is the key to navigating markets. Every trade starts with a thesis, every thesis starts with the data.”— Michael Kramer, Founder
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