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Latest Analysis
- The Stock Market Rally May Have Been Driven by Mechanics, Not Conviction
A sharp S&P 500 rally driven by rebalancing and volatility mechanics may be masking cautious positioning, as skew dynamics and oil strength point to underlying market hesitation. - Rising Oil Prices Are Wreaking Havoc Across the Market
Rising oil prices are tightening financial conditions, pressuring equities, and distorting inflation signals across the market. - Markets Brace for Data Heavy and Volatile Week
Markets face a volatile week driven by key economic data, elevated implied volatility, and rising oil prices, with technical indicators signaling a potential short-term bounce amid broader risks. - Markets Edge Toward a Critical Inflection Point
Markets approach a pivotal technical moment as rising oil prices tighten financial conditions, pushing the dollar and yields higher while increasing downside risks for equities. - Stocks May Face Further Downside as Rates Near Key Breakout
The S&P 500 breaks down from a bear pennant as surging Treasury yields and negative dealer positioning raise the risk of continued market declines. - Stocks Go Nowhere As Bearish Patterns Emerge
The S&P 500 remains range-bound as bearish technical patterns, widening credit spreads, and weak liquidity signals point to increasing downside risks across equities and crypto.
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A Decade of Institutional-Grade Market Research
Michael Kramer founded Mott Capital Management and has spent his career analyzing U.S. and international equity markets in high-stakes institutional environments.
His work focuses on publishing data-driven analysis covering macro trends, options market structure, dealer positioning, and gamma exposure — providing readers with both a long-term perspective and a quantitative edge in understanding market mechanics.
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“Understanding the macro environment is the key to navigating markets. Every trade starts with a thesis, every thesis starts with the data.”— Michael Kramer, Founder
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