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MCM MARKET COMMENTARY

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  • Here’s Why The Fed Is Likely To Raise Rates The Week of March 20, 2023March 19, 2023
    The Fed is likely to continue raising rates to combat inflation during the week of March 20, 2023.
  • 6 Stock Market Thoughts – The Week of March 13, 2023, EditionMarch 12, 2023
    The week of March 15, 2023, will be filled with plenty market moving headlines.
  • 7 Stock Market Predictions – The Week of March 6, 2023 EditionMarch 5, 2023
    Get ready for a lot of volatility over the next three weeks.
  • Market Forecaster: Stocks May Drop Further As Rates Rise- The Week of February 27, 2023 EditionFebruary 26, 2023
    Stocks may fall further the week of February 27, 2023, as rates and the dollar push higher.
  • The PCE Report Could Provide Fireworks For The Market- The Week of February 21, 2023 EditionFebruary 20, 2023
    The week of February 20 may be short, but the Fed minutes and the PCE report could provide the stock market with plenty of fire works.
  • Stock Market Forecast: A Hot CPI Report Is Possible For The Week of February 13, 2023February 12, 2023
    The week of February 13 could be a big week for the markets, with a CPI report coming on Tuesday.
  • Stocks May Have Reached A Turning Point In The Bear CycleFebruary 9, 2023
    Two distinct cycles are running in the S&P 500 and the NDX that marked previous highs and lows, and they suggest a may now be in place and VIX may be heading higher too.
  • The Stock Market Forecast: The Tides May Be Turning The Week of February 6, 2023February 5, 2023
    Rates and the dollar ripped following the hotter-than-expected job reports, and financial conditions may be set to tighten in the coming weeks.
  • Economic Data, Earnings, and The Fed Could Sink Stocks The Week of January 30, 2023January 29, 2023
    Stocks could sink the week of January 30, 2023, as economic data, earnings, and the Fed collide.
  • 6 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of January 23, 2023, EditionJanuary 22, 2023
    There will be no Fed speakers this week, but plenty of economic data to move the markets around.
  • 6 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of January 17, 2023 EditionJanuary 15, 2023
    January 17, 2023, will be a busy week with options expiring, Fed speak, and earnings are kicking into a higher gear.
  • 6 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of January 9, 2023 EditionJanuary 8, 2023
    The week of January 9, 2023, will feature Jay Powell, the CPI report, and results from JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup.
  • 7 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of January 3, 2023 EditionJanuary 1, 2023
    The week of January 3, 2023, will be an epic data dump that includes the December FOMC minutes.
  • 10 Monster Stock Market Predictions for 2023December 25, 2022
    2023 could be much worse than 2022 as the bear market continues to move forward and rates push even higher.
  • 6 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of December 19, 2022, EditionDecember 18, 2022
    The week of December 19, 2022, will be filled with economic data and Treasury auctions, so that it will be anything but slow.
  • 8 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of December 12, 2022, EditionDecember 11, 2022
    The Week of December 12, 2022, will feature a CPI report, 3 central bank rate decisions, and a 10-year and 30-year US auction; it will be busy, to say the least.
  • Stocks Break Key Trend Lines on December 6, 2022December 6, 2022
    Stocks fell sharply on December 6, 2022, for a second day, resulting in the S&P 500 breaking two critical trend lines.
  • 8 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of December 5, 2022 EditionDecember 4, 2022
    The week of December 5, 2022, will be filled with a ton of important economic data that could suggest a US recession is near.
  • Stocks Rally As Powell Takes Huge Gamble On Financial Conditions Easing FurtherNovember 30, 2022
    Stocks rallied as Powell says nothing new causing a dovish pivot.
  • Stocks Take Cover On November 29, 2022November 29, 2022
    It was a quiet day of trading as investors gear up for Powell on November 30.
  • Stocks Drop On November 28, 2022, As The Markets Prepare For PowellNovember 28, 2022
    Stocks dropped sharply on November 28, 2022 as the markets prepare for Jay Powell on Wedensday.
  • 7 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of November 28, 2022 EditionNovember 27, 2022
    The week of November 28, 2022, will be jammed with economic data, and highlighted by Jay Powell on Wedensday.
  • Stocks Rally On November 23, 2022 Despite Hawkish Fed Minutes Calling For RatesNovember 23, 2022
    Stocks appear to be gearing up for higher volatility coming soon.
  • Stocks Rally On November 22, 2022, Ahead of the Fed Minutes TomorrowNovember 22, 2022
    Stocks finished November 22, 2022, higher as the VIX and the Dollar sank.
  • Stocks Drop On November 21, 2022 As The Dollar RalliesNovember 21, 2022
    Stocks posted modest declines on November 21, 2022, as the dollar rebounded and the euro fell.
  • 7 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of November 21, 2022, EditionNovember 20, 2022
    The week of November 21, 2022, will be a short one but filled with plenty of news events.
  • Stocks Drop On November 17, 2022, As The Dollar Moves HigherNovember 17, 2022
    Stocks dropped on Thursday, November 17, 2022, as the dollar pushed higher.
  • Stocks Drop On November 16, 2022 Following Blistering Retail Sales DataNovember 16, 2022
    Stocks dropped on November 16, 2022, following a hotter-than-expected retail sales data.
  • The November Market Rally Is Starting To Look Like The August OneNovember 15, 2022
    Stocks tried to rally on November 15, 2022 but finished well below their highs.
  • Stocks Fail To Climb Through Critical Resistance on November 14, 2022November 14, 2022
    The stock market hit a brick wall on November 14, 2022.
  • 7 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of November 14, 2022, EditionNovember 13, 2022
    The doves may take flight the week of November 14, 2022, and spread their wings. Or maybe not…
  • Stocks Rip Higher On Cooler Inflation As The Mechanical Bull Rides AgainNovember 10, 2022
    Stocks rallied sharply after the CPI report came in lower than expected on November 10, 2022.
  • Stocks Drop Sharply On November 9, 2022 Ahead Of The Big CPI ReportNovember 9, 2022
    Stocks dropped sharply on November 9, 2022, one day ahead of the big inflation report.
  • The Stock Market May Be Setting Up To Break Sharply LowerNovember 8, 2022
    Stocks had a volatile trading session on November 8 and may be getting ready to break lower.
  • Stocks Push Higher On November 7, 2022 As The VIX Continues To MeltNovember 7, 2022
    Stocks managed to rally again on November 7, 2022, as the vix and the dollar both fell.
  • 9 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of November 7, 2022, EditionNovember 6, 2022
    The week of November 7, 2022, will be another volatile week for the stock market, with rates and the dollar on the move.
  • Stocks Drop On November 3, 2022, And Approach New LowsNovember 3, 2022
    Stocks dropped on November 3, 2022, and are getting closer and closer to making new lows.
  • Stocks Drop on November 2, 2022 As The Fed Provides A Hawkish SurpriseNovember 2, 2022
    Stocks finished the day lower after the Fed delivered a hawkish message to the market.
  • Stocks Drop On November 1, 2022, As Hawks Prepare To Take FlightNovember 1, 2022
    Stocks fell on November 1, 2022, one day ahead of the November FOMC meeting.
  • Stocks Finish Lower As The Bond Market Thinks Twice About The Fed PivotOctober 31, 2022
    Bond yields rose sharply on October 31, 2022, and so did the dollar.
  • 7 MONSTER STOCK MARKET PREDICTIONS – THE WEEK OF OCTOBER 31, 2022October 30, 2022
    The week of October 31, 2022, is going to be a an incredibly busy for the stock market.
  • Stocks Drop On Disappointing Earnings And A Stronger DollarOctober 27, 2022
    Stocks dropped on October 27 due to weak earnings and a stronger dollar.
  • Stocks Drop As The Bear Rises Ahead of The ECB and US GDPOctober 26, 2022
    Stocks fell on October 26, 2022, ahead of a big ECB meeting.
  • Stocks Rise On October 25, 2022 on The Non-Existent Fed Pivot HopesOctober 25, 2022
    The doves may be flying to close to the sun.
  • Stocks Rise on October 24, 2022, as Inflation Expectations Explode To The UpsideOctober 24, 2022
    Just when you thought the Fed had inflation under control and was ready to pivot… Think again…
  • 7 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of October 24, 2022 EditionOctober 23, 2022
    It will be a busy post-OPEX week of October 24, 2022, with an economical heavy calendar.
  • Stocks May Head Lower Following Options Expiration On October 21, 2022October 20, 2022
    Rates and the dollar soared on October 20, 2022, and now stocks may be due to fall.
  • Stocks Drop on October 19, 2022, as Rates Launch HigherOctober 19, 2022
    Stocks fell on October 19, 2022, as the 2-Yr yield made a new cycle high.
  • VIX Options Expiration May Unleash The Stock MarketOctober 18, 2022
    Stocks rally on October 18, but the vix options expiration may free the market’s trading range.
  • 7 Monster Stock Market Predictions- The Week of October 17, 2022, EditionOctober 16, 2022
    Stock may still have further to fall the week of October 17, 2022.
  • Stocks Drop Then Pop Following The CPI, As The Mechanical Bull Rides AgainOctober 13, 2022
    Stocks rally as implied volatility melts, you know the drill…
  • Stocks Drop On October 12, 2022, Ahead Of The CPI Main EventOctober 12, 2022
    Stocks finished October 12, 2022, slightly lower a day ahead of the big CPI report.
  • Stocks May Be Facing A Massive DeclineOctober 11, 2022
    Stocks fell on October 11, 2022, and are setting up for what could be a giant slide lower by the end of October.
  • Stocks Drop on October 10, 2022, as UK Interest Rates Explode HigherOctober 10, 2022
    The bond market was closed in the US but was open everywhere else on October 10, 2022.
  • 9 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of October 10, 2022, EditionOctober 9, 2022
    The week of October 10, 2022, will be very important for markets, and easily the most important of October.
  • Stocks Fall Ahead Of The Make Or Break Job ReportOctober 6, 2022
    Stocks fell about 1% ahead of the all-important September jobs report.
  • Stocks Rally Back On October 5, 2022 Despite Rising Rates And Stronger DollarOctober 5, 2022
    Stocks fell sharply to start the day but managed to bounce back by day’s end.
  • Stocks Rally Again on October 4, 2022, And Now It Is Getting…October 4, 2022
    Stocks rose again on October 4, 2022, very odd.
  • Stocks Rally On October 3, 2022, But Don’t Expect It To LastOctober 3, 2022
    Sure stocks rallied on October 3, 2022, but that doesn’t mean it will last.
  • 7 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of October 3, 2022, EditionOctober 2, 2022
    The week of October 3, 2022, may see the S&P 500 test 3,500 as it heads towards 3,200.
  • Stocks Drop Sharply On September 29, 2022, As Liquidity Stress BuildsSeptember 29, 2022
    Stocks dropped sharply on September 29, 2022, as reserve balances fell below $3 trillion for the first time since November 2020.
  • Stocks Rally On September 28, 2022, As Rates PlungeSeptember 28, 2022
    Stock’s rallied on September 28, 2022, as the Bank of England moved to stabilize the British bond market.
  • Stocks May Be Nearing A Breaking PointSeptember 27, 2022
    Stocks tried to rally for a second straight day and appear to be due for a bounce or big break down.
  • Stocks Plunge On September 26, 2022, To A New Closing LowSeptember 26, 2022
    The S&P 500 plunged to a new closing low on September 26, 2022.
  • 10 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of September 26, 2022, EditionSeptember 25, 2022
    The week of September 26, 2022, is likely to be another hectic one for markets.
  • Stocks Flop on September 22, 2022 As Real Yields RipSeptember 22, 2022
    Stocks finished the day lower as real yield push even higher.
  • Stocks Pop Then Drop On September 21, 2022 Following A Hawkish FedSeptember 21, 2022
    The Fed was more hawkish than expected causing stocks to drop.
  • Stocks May Rally On September 21, 2022 Following The FedSeptember 20, 2022
    Stocks may be ready to rally on September 21, 2022 no matter what the Fed says.
  • Stocks Lift On September 19, 2022, As The Mechanical Bull Rides AgainSeptember 19, 2022
    The VIX melt late in the day on September 19, 2022, helped to lift stocks into the close.
  • 7 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of September 19, 2022 EditionSeptember 18, 2022
    The weight of the evidence suggests new lows are coming to a stock market near you.
  • Stocks Drop On September 15 And May Fall FurtherSeptember 15, 2022
    Stocks fell on September 15 and may fall further due to tomorrow’s options expiration date.
  • Stocks Consolidate on September 14, 2022, But Tomorrow May Be A ProblemSeptember 14, 2022
    Stocks consolidated on September 14, 2022, but we have seen this show before.
  • Stocks Are Annihilated On September 13, 2022, By Soaring Inflation and RatesSeptember 13, 2022
    The S&P 500 fell by more than 4%, while the NASDAQ dropped by more than 5% following hotter-than-expected inflation data on September 13, 2022.
  • Stocks Rises, VIX Rise, and Yields Rise On September 12, 2022September 12, 2022
    Everything rises, as stocks rise, yields rise, and the vix rise.
  • 5 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of September 12, 2022, EditionSeptember 11, 2022
    The week of September 12, 2022, will be a very big one for the stock market.
  • Stocks May Be Stuck In An Algo Feedback LoopSeptember 8, 2022
    Stocks look like they are on the verge of the same outcome as April.
  • Stocks Rally On September 7 As Markets Position For A Return of The DovesSeptember 7, 2022
    Stocks jumped on September 7, as market await Jay Powell’s Q&A session tomorrow.
  • Stocks Drop On August 6, As Financial Conditions Tightening MoreSeptember 6, 2022
    Stocks fell on September 6 as economic data sent rates and the dollar sharply higher.
  • 7 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of September 5, 2022, EditionSeptember 4, 2022
    Stocks go into the week of September 5, 2022, feeling like they are on life support.
  • Stocks May Be Heading Much Lower As Liquidity and Leverage Are DrainedSeptember 1, 2022
    Liquidity and leverage may be leaving the system, which is not good for stocks.
  • Stocks Drop On August 31, As Real Yields Explode HigherAugust 31, 2022
    Stocks drop on August 31 as rates push higher.
  • Stocks Drop On August 30 And Near A Massive Inflection PointAugust 30, 2022
    Stocks fell sharply on August 30, and are nearing a major inflection point.
  • Maybe It’s Time For The Market To Stop Fighting The Fed?August 29, 2022
    Stocks fell again on August 29, 2022
  • 7 MONSTER STOCK MARKET PREDICTIONS – THE WEEK OF AUGUST 29, 2022, EDITIONAugust 28, 2022
    Stocks fell sharply on August 26 and are likely to see further losses the week of August 29, 2022.
  • Stocks May Be Unleashed On August 19, 2022August 18, 2022
    Stock have been range bound all week, but that may change on August 19, 2022.
  • Stocks Drop On August 17, 2022, As Canaries Take FlightAugust 17, 2022
    Stocks fell on August 17, 2022, as canaries began to appear everywhere.
  • Stocks May Finally Get To Pivot On August 17, 2022August 16, 2022
    Stock may finally get to pivot on August 17, it just won’t be from the Fed.
  • Stocks Up, Vol Up, High Yield Rates Up, Dollar Up, It’s CrackingAugust 15, 2022
    Stocks rallied on August 15, but beneath the surfaces the cracks grow wider.
  • 6 MONSTER STOCK MARKET PREDICTIONS – THE WEEK OF AUGUST 15, 2022 EDITIONAugust 14, 2022
    The week of August 15 may prove to be more challenging for now overbought stock markets.
  • Exploding Interest Rates May Finally Suck Stocks LowerAugust 11, 2022
    Stocks were up and turned lower on August 11, 2022, as long-term rates exploded higher into day’s end.
  • Stocks Soar On August 10 As Inflation Rises Only 8.5%August 10, 2022
    Stocks jumped on August 10 along with inflation.
  • The CPI Report May Shock Markets On August 10, 2022August 9, 2022
    Stocks moved lower on August 9, 2022, one day ahead of the big CPI report.
  • Stocks Brace For Impact On August 8, 2022August 8, 2022
    Stocks dropped on August 8, 2022, despite a 1% morning rally.
  • 8 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of August 8, 2022 EditionAugust 6, 2022
    Stocks may finally be ready to pull back the week of August 8, 2022.
  • The Stock Market Rally May Be Near Its EndAugust 4, 2022
    Stocks failed to rally on August 4, 2022, and show some ominous patterns.
  • Stocks Rip Higher On August 3, But Nearing Its PeakAugust 3, 2022
    Short rise again on August 3, but nearing its finale.
  • Stocks Drop On August 2 As Fed Ramps Up Hawkish RhetoricAugust 2, 2022
    Positive fund flows were overpowered on August 2, 2022, by hawkish Fed commentary.
  • Stocks Stall On August 1, As Stagflation Appears To Have Finally ArrivedAugust 1, 2022
    Stocks stalled out on August 1 following a stronger than expected ISM report.
  • 8 Monster Stock Market Predictions – The Week of August 1, 2022July 31, 2022
    Stocks may continue to rally for the week of August 1, but this is probably not a change in the long-term trends.
  • Real Yields Drop Pushing Stocks Higher On July 28, 2022July 28, 2022
    Stocks rose sharply as real yields drop on rising inflation expectations.

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Garden City, NY 11530

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© 2023 Michael Kramer. Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

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