Challenging the Mainstream Narrative on Markets
Institutional-grade macroeconomic analysis delivered daily. Options positioning, gamma exposure, dealer hedging flows, and key technical levels — cut through the noise with research where every thesis starts with the data.

Latest Analysis
- The VIX May Be Much More Than Just A Fear GaugeWhat is the VIX? Learn how the VIX works, why it may not fully reflect market risk, and how suppression, VVIX, and OPEX influence volatility.
- The Volatility Dispersion Trade Driving The S&P 500The Hidden Trade Driving the S&P 500 The S&P 500 can rally on bad news, fall on good news, and move with no news at all. That’s not randomness — it’s…
- Gamma Exposure (GEX) Often Drives Short-Term Market MovesGamma Exposure Often Drives Short-Term Market Moves The S&P 500 drops 2% with no headline. Or it grinds higher for a week while the news is bad. Most investors blame…
- Markets Face Reset as Oil Climbs and Earnings BeginOil prices and earnings season impact on stocks as rising crude and positioning risks increase downside pressure in equities.
- Equities Advance but Face Headwinds from Technical and Options ForcesThe S&P 500 faces technical and options resistance as the index advances, with volatility risks rising ahead of the jobs report and market closure.
- The Stock Market Rally May Have Been Driven by Mechanics, Not ConvictionA sharp S&P 500 rally driven by rebalancing and volatility mechanics may be masking cautious positioning, as skew dynamics and oil strength point to underlying market hesitation.
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A Decade of Institutional-Grade Market Research
Michael Kramer founded Mott Capital Management and has spent his career analyzing U.S. and international equity markets in high-stakes institutional environments.
His work focuses on publishing data-driven analysis covering macro trends, options market structure, dealer positioning, and gamma exposure — providing readers with both a long-term perspective and a quantitative edge in understanding market mechanics.
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Tracking dealer flows, gamma levels, and key strikes since 2014
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“Understanding the macro environment is the key to navigating markets. Every trade starts with a thesis, every thesis starts with the data.”— Michael Kramer, Founder
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