This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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13 Charts That May Predict Where The Stock Market Goes Next
Every chart is broken, that is all I can say, and honestly looking at all of these charts is starting to get confusing. What makes the charts so complicated is that last week most of these very same charts where showing breakouts all over the place. That is what makes the events of the past few days so strange. What seems even more strange is the VIX at 25. The S&P 500 was down 6 percent last week, and the VIX is only at 25?
The term structure of the VIX is still in backwardation.
The term structure of the SPY ETF options market is normal, and that tells us Volatility is expected to be short-lived.
But at the current levels, the VIX is not high enough to indicate a capitulation type moment, and that has me concerned.
The volume in the SPY is not even nearly as high as what we saw in early February.
It suggests the selling isn’t over just yet, and that event may come sometime early next week.
When the market is this type of sell mode, fundamental’s mean nothing, because the machines are in control, and for most the part these algo’s are looking for levels.
Below I will run through a bunch charts I am watching closely, with the next support levels to watch for are, or levels that need hold. I’m not saying the stocks go to those prices, I’m just saying this where they might gravitate towards. Also, if they hold it tells us a reversal may be in the works.
The technology ETF has been entirely smashed and is right on its uptrend. Anyone who reads these columns enough knows these lines on the chart I don’t not change or move, once I have placed them. So the fact that the XLK closed right on the uptrend means something.
Again volume not that impressive in the XLK today either.
The same with consumer discretionary stocks.
Amazon closed right at support around $1500, this is a significant level for Amazon, a break here, and it goes to the low $1,400’s.
Apple broke support at $168, it possible for a move to around $159.
Google must hold $1000, or we are going towards $920.
Facebook looks like it is going to $148.
Netflix better hold at $295.
Tesla must hold $290
Micron may be headed towards $49.
More Saturday night into Sunday.
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Tags: #sp500 #tech #technology #amazon #vix #facebook #apple #google #tesla #nvidia #mu #netflix