This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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August 20 – Stock mentions: SPY, VXX, FXI, SRPT, BAC, AMZN, AMD, JD
Thank you, MarketWatch for making our August 19 commentary your call of the day.
For August 21
S&P 500 (SPY)
Stocks had a down on August 20. Not the greatest sign for those looking for the index to break out. However, I have no lost much faith. I still believe that we can continue to climb higher in the coming weeks, despite the one-day pullback.
There is the possibility we continue to drift lower on Wednesday, August 21, as the index works its way towards 2890, in an attempt to refill a gap. However, I don’t think that will be the case.
When looking at the S&P 500 e-minis tonight, we can see the futures already filled the gap at 2892 and have started to turn higher once again. It is a positive sign that stock rise tomorrow once trading resumes on August 21 at 9:30 am.
Again, the big level of resistance for the S&P 500 is the 2935 level, I can’t emphasize enough how important it is that we break out.
The VIX index also managed to stall out at the 17.5 level today as well, and that could be a positive sign for equities. As long as the VIX continues to stay below that level, I think stocks move higher.
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Another positive is that the Shanghai composite appears to be nearing a pretty big turn around and potential move higher.
I haven’t followed Sarepta as much as I use too, but I did see the negative news today. The stock fell sharply to support at $96.25, and that managed to hold. But it needs to continue to hold, or the stock could be heading back to $82.50.
Bank of America (BAC)
I still think Bank of America has further to fall, $25.75 seems like a reasonable level of support. I don’t see how the bank stocks do well in this low rate world.
I’m struggling with what to make of Amazon these days. The stock seems stable at in the $1770 region, but yet the stock doesn’t go up? The chart almost has a bear flag pattern. We will need to continue to monitor. For now, I’m sticking with my view of $1900. We will see if we get better clarity tomorrow.
AMD has failed at $34.50 on many occasions. I think the stock still has further to fall, with the first stop at $29.40.
JD.com made back to $31.50 and stopped rising once again. There is a big gap to fill at $27.50, be careful.
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