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February 19, 2019
Michael Kramer and Clients of Mott Capital own Apple
U.S. Trading
- S&P 500 Future -6
- 10-Year Yield: 2.66%
- Oil: $56.13 +0.94%
- VIX: 16.01
- Dollar Index: 97.01 +0.11%
International Trading
- Japan Nikkei: +0.10%
- China Shanghai: +0.05%
- Hong Kong Hang Seng: -0.42%
- South Korea Kospi: -0.24%
- Singapore STI: -0.19%
- German DAX: -0.18%
- UK FTSE: -0.53%
- German 10-Yr Bund: 0.095%
- Japan 10-Year JGB: -0.04%
Global Growth Proxies
- Copper: $2.8275 +1.04%
- Silver: $15.78 +0.27%
- Platinum: $812.30 +0.67%
Key Events:
- Trade talks between the US and China resume on February 19 with reports that Vice-Premier handed greater power to end tensions.
- Trade tension Possible memorandum of understandingÂ
- Apple to launch new products in 2019?
- Is the ECB ready to do whatever it takes?
S&P 500 (SPY)
Stocks are pointing to a slightly lower opening on February 19, but nothing severe. Resistance for the S&P 500 comes in a zone of 2,795 to 2,800.
Lululemon (LULU)
Nomura downgraded Lululemon to hold from buy and raised its price target to $157. It seems clear at this point the trend in Lulu has shifted, with an RSI that is now trending lower, and a stock that is nearing a potential breakdown should it fall below $145.
McDonald’s (MCD)
McDonald’s was upgraded at Stephens to overweight from equal weight, while the price target was raised to $200 from $180. Unfortunately, I have never understood the love affair with this stock. It is a company that has shrinking revenue, while it grows its EPS from cost reduction and buy-backs.
Anyway, if you have read me long enough, you know that I am bearish on McDonald’s. However, I have been wrong for sometime, as the stock never breaks below the $155 level.
There appears to be a double forming in the stock, and a break below $170 confirms that double top. The RSI continues to point to a stock that is heading lower over time, not higher. Sorry, Stephens.
Walmart (WMT)
Walmart’s US comp sales +4.2% vs. estimates of 3.2% and beats on both the top and bottom lines, while reaffirming its fiscal year 2020 outlook. The metric the market loves –-US e-commerce growth of 43%. The stock is rising pre-market by 4% and is rising above resistance at $103. The stock could be nearing a big break out sending the stock on its way back to all-time highs around $110.
Facebook (FB)
Facebook is trading slightly lower and continues to appear as if it is heading lower towards $157.
Nvidia (NVDA)
Nvidia should be on watch after investors have had three days to digest those horribly sugar-coated results from last week. A drop below $150 sends the stock back to around $139.
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[youtube-feed feed=7]Freeport (FCX)
Freeport is nearing a huge break out which could send the stock higher on towards $13.80.
JD
JD is laying off 10% of its executive workforce. The uptrend in the stock is still firm, and it appears the stock is still on its way to $26.
Blackberry (BB)
Blackberry is nearing a big breakout at $8.70, which could send it on to $9.
Enjoy!
-Mike
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Â
February 19
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Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.