This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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JANUARY 12, 2020 3:30 PM EST
Stocks: JPM, BAC, ROKU, AMZN, INTC, DIS, PYPL, BB
Macro: Week Ahead, SPY
I Will Be Hosting A Live Webcast on Thursday, January 16, at 9:30 PM EST, For Members of Reading The Markets. You Can Join Us By Sign-Up For Your Free 2-Week Trial either on StockTwits or Seeking Alpha.
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN DIS
It will be a hectic week for stocks with a lot of economic data and the start of the earnings season. All of the big banks will give us an update on their businesses and, more importantly, a sense of the general trends in the economy. Additionally, we get two key inflation data points this week, from PPI and CPI.
To add one more wrinkle this week will be the JPMorgan Health Care Conference.
You can hear more in my week ahead column for Reading The Market members here – Economics And Earnings In Focus The Week Of January 13
S&P 500 (SPY)
The S&P 500 will enter the week trading just a touch off its all-time highs around 3,265. Not much has changed for the index, and based on the technicals; the trend remains higher. The index appears to have just broken free of a bullish pattern known as a Flag, and it would suggest the index continues to trend higher. For now, the next short-term level of resistance would come around 3,320.
JPMorgan will reports results on Tuesday, and whether or not the company reports good results, I think the shares may be heading lower in the day and weeks ahead. The stock has had a tremendous move higher in recent weeks, and the RSI is now declining. Nothing dramatic, but a decline to $131 seems reasonable.
Bank of America (BAC)
Bank of America’s RSI is also changing trend, and the stock is sitting on support around $34.50. A decline to $33 seems possible.
Did you see the news out of CES that Amazon Fire has more subs than Roku? It has 40 million to Roku’s 32 million. Perhaps that means that Amazon should trade at 7.2 times one-year forward sales? Maybe, it sounds good, it would make Amazon the most valuable company in the world, with a market cap of $2.8 trillion, from today’s $933 billion. Sounds ridiculous, right? That’s because it is, and so is Roku trading at that multiple. Anyway, the chart for Roku is weak and is likely to continue to trend lower to around $116 this week. That is a nearly perfect descending triangle.
Speaking of Amazon, the stock has been trending higher, but I think it first needs to fall back to $1,855, before resuming higher to $1,960.
PayPal is at a resistance level of around $113.75, and it could be heading higher toward $119.
I saw some bullish option betting in Intel over the past few days, and that indicates, along with the chart, that the stock may rise to around $64. Of course, I give a lot more detail in the premium section write-up, plus I provide an audio explainer too. Premium Content Betting Suggests Intel’s Stock Makes A Big Jump
Disney appears to be forming a symmetrical triangle, and that would indicate to me the potential for the shares to jump to around $158.
Blackberry may be forming a rising triangle of its own on its way to a gap fill at $7.50.
Have a great Sunday afternoon.