This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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Banks, Intel, Micron, Square, Twitter, P&G
Well, it was another positive day for stocks, with the S&P 500 rising another 30 bps, and closing the week at 2,779. We are now less than 1 percent away from 2,800, and it doesn’t get better than that!
It wasn’t technology or biotech’s turn to lead the market higher, but this time financials and discretionary stocks. Next week will be a do or die for the banks; I’ll show you why.
The chart below is for the Financial ETF, XLF.
You see that red line? That is your downtrend. See that blue line; it WAS the uptrend!. That yellow dotted line; that is support. The downtrend is now acting as a significant resistance level, and if the ETF price climbs above that red line, then that is good news and shares breakout, rising higher. Should the stock fall when reaching that downtrend, that is bad, suggesting shares are heading lower, towards the support line at towards $26.90.
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But the more significant problem is that if ETF does not break out, and rise above the downtrend line than it also confirms the more prominent bearish pattern, called a descending triangle. It means the ETF is heading lower than just $26.90, and that is bad news of the sector.
Intel did fall out below the rising wedge pattern in the chart, and that is a bad sign. But let’s see what happens come Monday, and give it one more day. I can tell you that if it continues to head lower Monday that is likely to fall towards $51
Look at Micron go; it closed the day right at resistance around $61.40. Is it going up more? Well, it is trying, and getting back to resistance is a good first step. The reason I can’t tell for sure is that it is also filling a gap from the day of that significant Morgan Stanley downgrade.
Look at Square, it can’t get back above resistance at around $62.
What is with all these tough calls today! Gee, it’s Friday!
But still, between Square and Twitter, Jack Dorsey is having an impressive year.
It was in March that Twitter nearly broke out, and I thought a monster break out was near, should it have risen above $36.50. Well, the stock never broke out, and then languished, but it did the other day, and now it’s over $41. You have to watch these things.
It takes guts to say this, but it may be heading to $46!
Have you seen Procter and Gamble! this thing is back to $77.25!
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#twitter #square #micron #intel #banks #PG