Either Stock Are Forming A Bottom Or Heading To The Abyss
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Either Stock Are Forming A Bottom Or Heading To The Abyss

by Michael Kramer

STOCKS: MSFT, ACAD, SQ

MACRO: SPY,

MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN ACAD, MSFT

Stocks fell slightly today by about 40 basis points to close at 3,116, holding support at 3,110. So did we bottom? Again, the signs continue to suggest that we are bottoming. You want to agree with the six signs I pointed out yesterday, that’s up to you. But after a drop of 8% in a straight line, a 40 basis point drop to around yesterday’s lows of 3,118, seems even to me.

Regardless we need to hope this is around the bottom as noted yesterday. Otherwise, things are going to get much worse. We are at an inflection point for many important indicators, as well as the 10-year yield. So we need to see some signs of improvement and soon.

The number of stocks below their 50 and 200 day-moving average are now at the low end of the range, and there has only been a handful of other times it has gotten lower.

50-day

200 day

You can see in both of the charts above those ratios could fall significantly from their current levels if we don’t see a change in sentiment. I went through those charts and a bunch more in a video today. Premium content – The Sell-Off Is Either Ending Or It’s About To Get A Whole Lot Worse

S&P 500 (SPY)

Anyway, by days end, it became clear that 3,130 was resistance, and 3,110 was acting as support. So what happens tomorrow? I’m still in the camp that this region is around the bottom. We remain in oversold conditions on the RSI, and as I showed you in the chart above, the number of stocks below their respective moving average suggests they bounce.

S&p 500, spx

Acadia (ACAD)

Acadia reported strong results beating on the top and bottom, and guiding revenue well above expectations. The stock is trading up to around $41.30 after hours. I’m interested in what they say on the call.

acadia, acad

Square (SQ)

Square is popping after reporting better than expected results and guiding inline. The stock is jumping, filling the gap up to $83 in the after hours. That is resistance, be careful here.

sq, square

Microsoft (MSFT)

Microsoft is falling after announcing it would not meet guidance on its More Personal Computing unit guidance. The stock is trading around the range it has been in the last few days.

Anyway, that’s all I have tonight.

-Mike

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