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DECEMBER 23, 2019
STOCKS: AAPL, TSLA, AMD, INTC, BA
MACRO: SPY, IWM
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN AAPL, TSLA
Did you notice that the Atlanta Fed GDPNow is now tracking fourth quarter growth at 2.3%, up from 2.1% on December 20. The next reading won’t come until January 3. Still, that is not a bad growth rate for an economy that is supposed to be in a recession at this point. Sorry, I forgot the recession is coming in 2020 now, right. I most certainly think not.
It really must have sucked to have been a bear 2019. No recession, and even worse the equity market has rallied by more than 30%. I wouldn’t know, I wasn’t a bear.
S&P 500 (SPY)
Stocks finished flat with the S&P 500 closing around close at 3,223. The path of least resistance for the index is up. There is nothing at point to suggest that the trend will change. Maybe it turns when the new decade begins, but between now and then, newsflow should continue to trickledown. It means that the no reason for the trend to change.
Russell (IWM)
The Russell also continues to push higher, and today it managed to rise to around 1,674 and is now trying to breaking free of resistance in that 1,673 to 1,675 region. I continue to believe that the upside in this index is to approximately 1,710. It is why I still hold my IWM calls for January expiration.
Boeing (BA)
Boeing surged by 3% today on the news a new CEO will be taking over. I’m not sure that should make anyone feel better at this point. Typically what follows when a new CEO takes over a company is a reset of expectations, which means guidance gets cut and whole a slew of operational change. I’m not sure it will be any different for Boeing. It stands the chance things could get worse for Boeing, especially if the MAX delays carry on for longer than anyone was expecting. $339 to $340 is short-term resistance, be careful.
AMD (AMD)
AMD was up again today and shall likely continue to climb until it reaches $46.80. At least that is what the chart suggests.
Apple (AAPL)
Apple is driving higher today following an upgrade out of Wedbush, which gave the stock a $350 price target. I’m guessing $291 is the next level to look for.
Tesla (TSLA)
Tesla got to $420, reaching $422. I’m not sure how much more juice is left in the battery pack for this stock, but support at $390 should be strong. Ifthe stock can consolidate around $420, then there is likely further to rise. The options betting I saw on December 18, suggested the stock rise to $427. – They did it again.
Intel (INTC)
It looks like Intel is going to try and make that push to $64 after all this time.
-Mike
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This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
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