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Something Has Changed In The S&P 500
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Some fascinating things have developed in the markets over the past couple of days. The pattern of gapping lower, filling it, and moving higher has decisively changed. In fact, we noted it just a couple of weeks ago. In fact, our discussion was even picked up in a MarketWatch.com story.
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The chart below shows we have had successive days, where the S&P 500 has gapped lower but has not been able to refill that gap. The rebound in the index has only taken the S&P 500 back to the level of the initial opening level.
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Technology
We are seeing the same thing occurring in the technology sector using the XLK has a proxy.
It would suggest to me there are just not enough buyers in the market, presently to lift the index above the opening level. Perhaps the machines have been reprogramed?
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Discretionary Sector
Looking at the discretionary ETF, one that has recently broken out, the difference becomes apparent. The XLY gapped lower, but the buyers came into the market to completely refill it in the morning and take shares above and beyond by the end of the day.
I believe still that S&P 500, and the technology sector is likely to continue to feel pressure, and continue to drift lower over the next couple of weeks, as we have previously noted.
Tesla
Tesla has it big semi truck event on Thursday night, one that should be interesting. Tesla bulls were able to rally shares yesterday, and despite losses in today’s trading the stock managed to hold support at $310, another positive sign for a bottom getting put in place.
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That it for today.
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Michael Kramer owns puts in the XLK
Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Capital owns shares of TSLA
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Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
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