Stocks Finish Slightly Higher But Are Still On The Cusp

This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.

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July 17, 2020

STOCKS – NFLX, FB, AAPL, MSFT

MACRO – SPY

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MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN MSFT AND AAPL

Stocks had a dull day, with the Qs rising by 12 bps, and the S&P 500 increasing by almost 30 bps. The market tried to rally into the end of the day, but the buyers vanished into the close. 

The VIX was slammed today; I’m not sure if it was because of options expiration and open puts rolling off or what. But the way the VIX fell, you have thought the S&P 500 was up a lot today. But it wasn’t.  It was at its lowest level since the beginning of June. 

The good news for the bulls is that copper continues to hold the uptrend, and that is very important for the risk-on trade. 

For now, it looks like Netflix failed at resistance around $495. I still think that this stock is going lower, with the next stop at $475.

Apple needs to be on watch next week as the stock quickly approaches its uptrend. 

Microsoft already broke one of its uptrends, as part of the bearish bump and run pattern. The next level to watch comes at $198. 

It looks likes Facebook will be going nowhere anytime soon. The RSI is just declining, and that means either the stock goes sideways or down. But the run-up for now is likely finished. 

Have a good one. 

-Mike

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results. 

 

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