Unlock deeper insights with exclusive, members-only video content on The Market Chronicles YouTube Channel — Just $34.99 a month
15:06
Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join
Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624
This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
2
YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuaGppRXBnaVZHbzg
8:44
Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join
Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624
This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
3
YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuWXkzM3ZxY0xJUVk
10:41
Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join
Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624
This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
3
YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuLTBiUHlBZEtZZEk
[widget id=”text-22″]
Stocks Near Big Breakout, Tesla Shorts Can’t Win, Booking May Fall 12%
MICHAEL Kramer AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN SHARES OF NFLX AND TSLA
[widget id=”text-19″]
S&P 500
The good news, the S&P 500 finished above 2,853 today, at 2,857. The next hurdle for the index is to take out the highs around 2,875. Then a move likely to 2,900 and beyond. In fact, it could even result in a bit of melt-up pushing the index on to 3,000. Unless you are new here, you know I have been calling for the S&P 500 to rise to 3,000 since late last year and even since the end of the third quarter for 2017. I still see no reason why that can’t happen, and soon.
Netflix
Netflix had a nice bounce back today, rising to $327. But noticed where the stock failed on the chart today, right at resistance around $332. That price will be crucial tomorrow to know if today’s rally was a one day bounce or a sign of a turn higher in the stock. A rise above $332 likely sends the stock back on towards $357.
Amazon
Amazon fell again today, and is stepping it way lower, and continues to look as though $1840 is still in play.
Tesla
If you are a Tesla short, you have to be pulling your hair out. Tesla was down by $20 bucks in pre-market trading, albeit on no volume. But still, the stock managed to stage a comeback and finish up on the day at $309.
The stock bounced when it was supposed to off the uptrend, using the Log chart. I will repeat it, in case I haven’t said it enough, for the stock to go lower there needs to be more than short-sellers. Either the shorts need to put more pressure on the stock, or they are going to need real sellers to step in. At this point do not think that is going happen.
The cost to borrow shares of Tesla to then go short is around 3 percent. There is likely still plenty of stock to lend, which means the shorts have a lot more work to do.
Months ago I highlighted why the shorts can’t win in Tesla, from January and bunch of other thoughts. An Intelligent Way Of Looking At Tesla’s Results
Booking/Expedia/TripAdvisor
I got a request to take a look at Booking.com, and from a fundamental standpoint, I can’t say I know the story super well. Based on the estimates and growth rates, it is hard to argue shares are expensive at 18.4 times next years earnings. Earnings growth in 2019 is forecast at 13 percent on 12 percent revenue growth. TripAdvisor is far more expensive at more than 33 times. Meanwhile, Expedia trades at 20 times and offers the best growth profile.
EXPE PE Ratio (Forward 1y) data by YCharts
The chart on Booking doesn’t look particularly strong. I could make a solid case for shares to decline to roughly $1.630 from $1,860, a drop of about 12 percent.
10-Year
The moment of truth is coming for the 10-year treasury butting up against support at an uptrend. Should yields break 2.80, they may have much further to fall to 2.6 percent.
That is going to be it today, good luck tomorrow.
-Mike
Member Services
Michael Kramer is the Founder of Mott Capital and the creator of Reading the Markets.
I started learning to invest when I was 16 years old. At 40, I have pieced together a long career on Wall Street, working as an analyst, and a domestic and international equity trader at two multi-billion dollar equity firms.
I started Mott Capital in 2014 to follow a passion and dream of being in control of my career path.
The idea behind Reading the Markets was to help both individual and institutional investors benefit from my experience in the business and my unique approach to dissecting stocks and the markets, which helped me become a great trader.
Reading the Markets is unique, in that the video does not only serve as a means to deliver the content but to interact, making it a personal learning experience, while also showing the user how I go about finding my research and how you can use the process to do your work.
I want this product not only to be profitable and enjoyable but also affordable.
Here are some of the recent videos:
Verizon Nears Multiyear Break Out As 5G Data Speeds Near
Amazon May Plunge 10%
The Dollar May Soon Wreak Havoc On Oil And Gold
Inflation Runs Rampant Only In Fantasyland And That Is Good For Stocks
Tesla May Be Going Higher Regardless Of The Bid
Why The S&P 500 May Rise To 3,500
Why Apple May Rise By 50%
Facebook’s Growth Issue
Netflix Is Not Broken, Plus S&P May Rise To 3,000 Sooner Than You Think
Read Our Sponsors Material:
[widget id=”text-23″]
Photo Credit Via Flickr
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.
#sp500 #netflix #booking #expedia #tripadvisor #amazon#tesla
Subscribe to receive this FREE daily commentary directly in your email
This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
FOMC Preview - LT Rate Outlook
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles 109 minutes ago