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September 24, 2020
STOCKS – BA, AAPL, DOCU
Macro – SPY, DIA
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- Stocks Fail, 2,860 Still In Play
- Stocks Failing At Tough Resistance Levels
- Stock Mount Weak Rally, Watch For Afternoon Fade- Midday
- Dead Cat Bounce – Morning
- This Is A Different Sell-Off
- The Market Has Little To Support It
- The Second Leg Lower – Morning
- 10 THEMES FOR THE WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 21
- Nvidia May Drop 15% More
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN AAPL
Stocks are mixed this morning, with the S&P 500 up 25bps, and the Qs down 7bps. The mixed session follows a brutal session in Asia, which saw Hong Kong fall 1.8%, a 2.6% decline in South Korea, and a 1.1% drop in Japan. Europe is fairing better with Germany up 10bps and the UK down 30bps.
S&P 500 (SPY)
At least for now, the futures are finding some stability around the 3,210 level and have since bounced some to around 3,233. It seems that for now, the S&P 500 futures are at the lower end of the trading channel, and if we do see a bounce today, I wouldn’t expect to get past 3,295. I drop below 3,200 on the S&P 500 futures, likely triggers a very steep and sharp decline to 3,000.
Dow Joes (DIA)
I know we don’t usually focus on the Dow, but it looks like there is a head and shoulders pattern on the daily chart that has been completed and is now breaking down. A break of support at 26,200 likely triggers a drop to 25,000, a decline of 7% from its current price.
Apple (AAPL)
Apple is trading a little bit lower today, with a drop below $106, likely trigger a retest of the lows around $104. But the big problem comes if the stock breaks $104 because that will open the flood gates to $96.
DocuSign (DOCU)
Docusign retested the breaking of the uptrend and failed. It confirms the move higher is over, and that a drop to $160 is likely in the works.
Boeing (BA)
Boeing fell below support at $157, which probably leads to that decline to $144 I have looked for.
Good luck today
Mike
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
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