This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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Tech Stocks Are Back as the Stock Market Finally Break Out
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN SHARES OF NFLX, GOOGL, ACAD.
MICHAEL KRAMER OWNS XLF PUTS
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The stock market confirmed the break out we noted in yesterday’s write-up with a solid showing up by about 85 bps, closing the week out at 2,760. When you look at the chart below can’t help but stare in amazement at how fine-tuned the algo’s are in today’s world of trading. Anyone that follows this blog daily knows I draw out these trends, support, and resistance levels and tend to leave them. Today’s price action in the S&P 500 managed to stop right at resistance below 2,761, is it by chance? Possibly, we can never know for sure, but I have seen this often enough to know probably isn’t by chance, you will understand why shortly. (See: The Stock Market Is A Battle of Good and Bad As Uncertainty Runs Wild)
The technology sector looks like it is coming back nicely, and support has clearly held $68.90. We can also see that volume has been surging the last few days, and that would suggest to me the buyers are stepping into the ETF with it rising into today’s close. A break out next week?
Facebook shares have broken out and also look very strong. So much for the user privacy concerns in March.
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Netflix shares also appear to have broken out, and like Facebook had a similar downtrend in place. I just added the red downtrend line today, because it was fairly evident to me it should be there. (See: Netflix International Subscriber Growth Appears To Be Hot– Premium Membership Needed!)
Alphabet also looks like it held support levels nicely, and I think it may rise back to $1200.
The pattern in Amazon doesn’t look good at the moment, and I still think the rising wedge is a bearish indicator with the potential for 10 percent or so drop in the stock.
The banks still look lousy, and most of the big banks report results next Friday the 13th. Uh-Oh! Friday the 13th, of all days. The XLF can’t get above resistance at $26.90
You really can’t make some of this stuff up, look at where Morgan Stanley stopped rising today! See what I mean!
Micron still can’t back above resistance at $54. I fear the longer it stays below resistance, the more the orders odds increase a drop to $50 are on the way. The only positive is that long-term uptrend is rising, reducing the amount of a potential fall.
Well there is the Twitter break out we were looking for. $52.50 maybe.
Maybe even Acadia finally broke out; I’d take $21.50 given the ride this stock has been on. But we can see a clear triple bottom now in place, and a rise above two downtrends. We can only hope.
Have a good one!
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.
#banks #technology #stocks #amazon #facebook #micron #netflix #acadia