Technology and Semis Are Leading The Stock Market Higher
Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Capital own shares of TSLA
The S&P 500 had a solid day, rising by 35 bps, closing at 2,672. We gave back some of the gains late in the day around the time of the Iran headlines, but it may have been more of a gap fill. The chart shows that the S&P 500 is very close to the upper bound of the trading range so that the next few days will be telling as for whether we breakout and continue our rise, or we retrace back to the 2615 region.
Technology shares continued their advance, and the setup in the group continues to look positive. We’ll need to monitor and see if the XLK ETF continues to stay within the channel. The most important thing we are watching is that we continue a pattern of higher lows.
It looks like the iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) may have also broken out, another positive. I’d like to see a strong follow-through tomorrow to confirm. I bought some calls for the SMH ETF on Friday anticipating a breakout in my trading account. Not something I often do, but sometimes old habits die hard. Hopefully, I will prove right on this one.
Microsoft has this sizeable ascending triangle forming, and that may mean shares set for a big breakout.
Amazon shares continue to hover just below resistance around $1,620. The next day or so will likely be telling for that stocks future direction.
I wrote the other day, I saw Nvidia getting back to $250 after results, well it almost got there today! Does that mean we are going even higher? I’m not ready to change the call yet.
Roku had a solid rise of 5 percent today, with the stock hitting some resistance around $34. Implied vol is at almost 119% for the options set to expire in 11 days, according to Trade Alert. That is crazy.
Tesla shares got a boost after reports Elon Musk bought 33,000 shares of stock. The stock has now recovered all of its losses following the quarterly results.
Tesla registered another 5,009 VINS for the Model 3 today with the NHTSA. From April 23 through May 6, Tesla registered about 6,000 VINS. That would indicate they may be producing about 3,000 cars per week. We’ll see when the next batch of VINS are recorded, and the spacing between dates.
I have now seen three Model 3’s where I live on Long Island over the past week, so they are around, and I will continue to keep track.
The last time I wrote on Micron, I noted it looks like shares broke out. Well, I was embarrassed because the stock went down. I haven’t been wrong on Micron much in the past, and this time I was. But now the setup in the chart is becoming more evident, and a breakout appears to be coming. Look at that falling wedge in the chart, along with a solid uptrend. It means a reversal is bound to happen, and that means shares are getting ready to.
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