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Tesla, Netflix, Twitter, Boeing, Square-The Week of July 2 in Stocks
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN TSLA, NFLX, AAPL, SWKS
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It will be a big week for stocks with the start of the third-quarter, the sell-off on Friday into the close I’m sure left some feeling a bit uncertain going into the beginning of this week. But I think the sell-off may have just been a case of more of the same, technically refilling the gap.
The chart below shows how the S&P 500 completely refilled the opening gap by the end of the day Friday.
![S&P 500](https://www.tradingview.com/i/3ww0xKgW/)
Technology
The chart in the Technology ETF XLK looks very similar to that of the S&P 500, and again a gap fill occurred at the end of the day.
![technology](https://www.tradingview.com/i/KxHH3CHy/)
Discretionary
The Discretionary also appeared to bounce where they should.
![xly](https://www.tradingview.com/i/Ud1vTnuZ/)
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Netflix
Netflix could still be looking at a decline to about $382, with a downtrend over the short-term in place, and what appears to be a descending triangle. But I think that would likely be short-term. I expect to continue to see some positive analysts commentary for the stock ahead of results around July 16.
Search terms for Netflix subscriptions appear to have seen a meaningful surge over the last few days of the second-quarter, and will likely bode well for subscriber growth in the second-quarter.
![](https://i0.wp.com/mottcapitalmanagement.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/netflix7.1.18.png?resize=700%2C358&ssl=1)
(GOOGLE TRENDS)
Tesla
It will be a massive week for Tesla, with all eyes on second-quarter delivery results, released on July 3. The Bloomberg Model 3 Tracker has Tesla producing more than 4,500 Model 3’s per week. According to some other reports, Tesla registered about 2,500 VINS for the dual motor Model 3 as well.
So signs are pointing to Tesla being very close to the 5,000 units per week because if memory serves me right, the dual motor Model 3’s were not expected to be produced until production rates hit 5,000 per week, again that is based off what I remember.
Also, Elon Musk’s mood seems to have improved noticeably on Twitter in recent weeks, from what looked like frustration at points, to one of being much happier.
Chips
The chips stock have gone nowhere since the launch of the new iPhone last fall. Perhaps that will change with the upcoming line up of new iPhone, in September. I suspect we should start hearing more about how the books are building for these new phones on quarterly results in the coming weeks. I think the most important companies to pay attention to in this process will be the Skyworks, Qrovo and Cirrus Logic as they tend to be reasonably good barometers for the how that supply chain is building.
![chips](https://www.tradingview.com/i/XkX5YiIe/)
Twitter
Running through some charts.Twitter looks set to rise to about $52.50, with a strong technical pattern in the chart.
![twtr](https://www.tradingview.com/i/qE8NqSn9/)
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Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
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Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
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Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
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Square
Square looks to be heading back to around $56.50.
![square](https://www.tradingview.com/i/46DyF6zr/)
Boeing
Boeing still looks like it is on way to $320.
![boeing](https://www.tradingview.com/i/ipEpHjvH/)
BofA
I also think BofA is heading to $26.
![bac](https://www.tradingview.com/i/ebESOowl/)
Good luck this week.
-Mike
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Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
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