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June 14 – Stock mentions: SPY, SMH, MU
Stocks had a solid finish to the day after moving sharply lower at the open finishing down just 15 bps. The day could have turned out much worse, and it does indicate to me that the bullish momentum we saw last week may be here to stay. You can find several essential points from this week that very constructive which could be setting up a strong follow through next week. (premium video: Why Stocks May Be Setting Up For The Next Move Higher
S&P 500 (SPY)
First and foremost, after seeing huge gains last week the S&P 500 managed to trade sideways. A definite sign consolidation is taking place. It tells me that the next move the equity market is likely higher. Second, the chart shows that there is a solid level of support in the S&P 500 around between 2,872 and 2,886. Third, the chart continues to show the formation of a flag, a bullish continuation pattern. The shape of its has changed some through out the week; however, the meaning has not.
Chips Stocks (SMH)
Another positive was that Chip sector managed to find a level that held all day $102.50. Given the weak Broadcom news the ETF could have easily been down much more than the 2.7% today. We saw much more significant declines in the middle of May on trade worries. It may be suggestings in some ways much of this was already priced into the group.
Micron (MU)
Despite knocking on the door of a significant break down this morning, MU managed to hold support around $32.50. Remember if any stock has a lot of risk over the next few weeks, it is Micron. MU reports result during the last week of June.
In all, this would suggest to me that things ain’t so bad in the market. We’ll have to see what next week brings.
It is the summer on a Friday, so that is going to be it for today. But of course, there will be more this weekend.
-Mike
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.