Subscribe to receive this FREE daily commentary directly in your email
[widget id=”wordads_sidebar_widget-41″]
Here Is Why I Think The Stock Market Just Bottomed
[widget id=”text-16″]
From Yesterday’s commentary:
“As the chart above shows, the markets finished near the lows today, so to not see more selling to start the day would be surprising. In fact, what I would like to see is a gap lower on heavy volume, followed by a period of stabilization, and then a sharp turn higher mid-afternoon, with a positive close on the day.
Where would that turn occur? It is a good question, and I shall take a stab at it, and say 2,633. Again, this merely a guess and for entertainment purposes.”
[widget id=”text-19″]
Genius or Dope
So either I’m a freaking genius or there some level of predictability to the stock market. For the most part what I wrote last night is precisely what happened in my opinion, even the turn at 2,633. There are no such things as coincidence, and what seems like chance, isn’t. Anyone who reads this commentary daily knows I never brag about my calls, and will almost always admit when I have been wrong.
But the stock market gave us exactly what I would have liked to see in a bottoming process; a sharp gap lower on the open, followed by snap rebound and the testing and re-testing of a bottom. That testing came at 2,633 on two occasions, after the initial plunge.
The chart has a fairly classic double bottom, followed by an overwhelming wave of buying going into the close of trading. The setup in the close suggests higher prices are coming with a rise back to around 2,740, in my opinion.
[widget id=”text-14″]
2,633
The 2,633 level is no random level by any means, that was the gap that was created in the S&P 500 chart on December 8, that went unfilled. Even more ironically the market jumped that due to the strong November job’s data.
Unlock Deeper Insights with Exclusive Member-Only Video Content on The Market Chronicles YouTube Channel – Just $34.99/Month
13:14
Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join
Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624
This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
4
YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuS3RER0RlcVg2Vjg
6:32
Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join
Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624
This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
0
YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuU1FtSnNXUDNDWms
18:01
Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join
Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624
This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
2
YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuY2JrTXFiNjZpTW8
We shall find out in a number of days time, just how smart or stupid I am, but you can’t fault a guy for trying.
Good luck.
[widget id=”text-13″]
[amazon_link asins=’B001RTSGRM,B0027VSU9S’ template=’ProductGrid’ store=’us-blob’ marketplace=’US’ link_id=’ddac9aaa-07bd-11e8-b496-4d0ce69fcd2f’]
Mott Capital’s Reading The Markets – An In-depth Global Macro Stock Market Commentary – In Video Format – See How Michael Dissects The Markets
Just $200 Per Year – Get Your Free Trial
Recent Videos:
We May Have Just Hit Bottom
Machines Gone Wild
Don’t Freak Out About Friday’s Sell-Off
How The “Street” Got Apple So Wrong
Qorvo Sheds Some Light On Apple
Did Broadcom Seal Apple’s Fate?
The Sky Is Falling. Relax It’s Not.
Getting Ready For S&P 500’s Pullback, Plus Subscriber Mailbag
Dollar Breaking Down, Biotech And Intel Breakout
Why Apple May Not Be Toast Afterall
Why It May Be Time To Get Bullish On Materials As Dollar Plunges
Free Articles Written By Mike:
Nvidia Options Traders Bet Big On Chipmaker As Stock Drops
Bitcoin Investors Face More Pain On Likely 35% Plunge
Why Apple’s Supercycle Has Only Begun
Qualcomm’s Time To Decide Its Fate Has Come
Why Visa’s Stock Is Running on Fumes
How Tesla Mauled The Bears
Chipmaker Broadcom Doesn’t Need Apple To Rebound
Apple May Lose Crown As World’s Most Valuable Company
Chipmaker Skyworks Seen Rising Despite Apple Skepticism
Why Boeing’s Stock Will Keep Flying High
Join our 2,629 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! Subscribe
-OR-
[vc_tweetmeme type=”follow” follow_user=”michaelmottcm” show_followers_count=”true” large_button=”true”]
Photo Credit Via Flickr
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.
© 2018 Mott Capital Management, LLC. Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.
Tags: #sp500 #flashcrash #bottom
Subscribe to receive this FREE daily commentary directly in your email
This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
The Pivot Games: Tariff Edition
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles 15 hours ago