Subscribe to receive this FREE daily commentary directly in your email
6 Monster Reasons Why Stocks May Reach New All-Time Highs in 2019
September 2 – Stock mentions: SPY, IWM, FXI, EWG, EWU
The US markets are closed today for labor day on September 2, but the rest of the world is open for business. There are signs developing throughout the global markets which would suggest that stocks still have further to climb in 2019, and could reach their all-time highs once again. Premium Content: Your Guide To The Week Of September 3
The big news happened last night when their manufacturing PMI came in at 50.4, showing the sector moved back into expansion. The reading was an improvement from last months reading of 49.9.
Shanghai Comp. (FXI)
The Shanghai composite rose overnight by more than 1%. The index appears to be breaking out rising out of a falling wedge and is now challenging resistance at 2,920. It seems that the index may be getting ready for a move higher towards 3,065.
Germany (EWG)
Germany is also showing signs of improvement, with its DAX index creating what appears to be a reverse head and shoulders, a bullish reversal pattern. It would indicate that the index may be on its way back to 12,200.
FTSE (EWU)
Also, the UK FTSE appears to have formed a double bottom and is above resistance at 7,280. It potentially setups an advance to 7,520.
S&P 500 (SPY)
The positive change from bearish to bullish in some of the critical international markets could surely be a positive sign for our markets here. As markets rising globally could add a needed layer of support, helping the S&P 500 to finally break out and increase above resistance at the 2,930 to 2,940 resistance zone. Another positive is the RSI and advance/decline lines are steadily trending higher and showing signs for breaking out.
Unlock Deeper Insights with Exclusive Member-Only Video Content on The Market Chronicles YouTube Channel – Just $34.99/Month
15:55
Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join
Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624
#sp500 #stocks #stockmarket #cpi #fed #qqq #spy #rates
Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
0
YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuNkxZN0J0TElWSDg
20:06
Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join
Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624
#sp500 #stocks #stockmarket #cpi #fed #qqq #spy #rates
Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
1
YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuZFdycFhrLWdMU2M
13:15
Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join
Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624
#sp500 #stocks #stockmarket #cpi #fed #qqq #spy #rates
Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
2
YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuUVktWUdhVzBpeDQ
Sellers Fading?
Also, notice on these two broader-based ETFs, the SPY, and IWM, are showing volume levels have been steadily declining in recent week. A sign that the number of sellers is thinning out.
Valuation
Based on my current estimates for the S&P 500 of $179.79 for 2020, I can still get the S&P 500 around 3.050 based on 17 times estimates, and around 3150 based on 17.5-time estimates. Much will depend on how long rates stay low. Should interest rates remain below 2% for the balance of the year, the PE ratio could slowly approach 17.5.
But more important, especially as we enter the last few months of the year, investors should begin to turn their attention to 2021 earnings. For now, those estimates continue to remain healthy. Currently, my model is suggesting earnings growth of 10.2% in 2021 to $198.11. It gives the index a PE ratio of about 14.7. At 17 times 2021 estimates, the S&P 500 could rise to around 3,370.
Heading into the first trading day of September, if the global market begins to show signs of improvement, and earnings estimates can remain healthy, then the S&P 500 should hold itself together and push back towards its all-time highs.
I will, of course, continue to monitor for you as alway.
Enjoy your day off.
-Mike
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results. all-time highs
Subscribe to receive this FREE daily commentary directly in your email
Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
Bond Yields Are Nearing Escape Velocity
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles 9 hours ago