This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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May 8, 2019
Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own Apple and NXP
- S&P Futures -11.5
- 10-Year Treasury Yield 2.42%
- Dollar Index 97.50
- VIX 21.34
- Oil 61.29
- Japan Nikkei -1.46%
- China Shanghai -1.12%
- Hong Kong HSI -1.23%
- South Korea KOSPI -0.41%
- Germany DAX +0.08%
- UK FTSE -0.25%
Global markets continue to be weak, and at this point, they are all fighting to find support levels. So we will need to continue to monitor these scenarios.
S&P 500 (SPY)
The S&P 500 is pointing to a lower opening on May 8, but we are giving back what we made up in the final 30 minutes of trading on Tuesday. The best case scenario I am looking for is a drop in the S&P 500 to 2863 this morning, setting up a retest of the lows from yesterday, followed by a bounce higher. If we fail to find support at 2,863, then one might assume the decline continues to the next big support region at 2,830.
If we do see the S&P 500 bounce at 2,863, then I think you should at least keep this next chart in the back of your mind as it would be consistent with what we have seen in recent months.
The VIX is also retesting the intraday highs from yesterday. A decline below 20.50 would be a big positive for the broader market to bounce.
Apple may continue to feel the pressure today, but the good news is that there is a healthy level of support at $198, and it would be a good region for the stock to bounce. A decline below $198 sets up a further drop to around $194.
Amazon has held firm at $1,900, but should the stock drop below the uptrend at that price; it sets up a further decline to around $1,850.
Nvidia is on the cusp of a big break down should it drop below $170. It could set up a decline to around $150.
It would be nice to think that NXP is merely just filling a gap from its earnings beat back to $98.
Micron is now breaking down, and a drop below $39 sends the stock even lower to perhaps $36.
Square doesn’t look healthy either and may be setting up a retest of $65.50.
Boeing continues to look weak and could be heading towards $320. Premium Article Boeing Is Breaking Down
Here’s to a better Wednesday.
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results. may 8