This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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September 15, 2020
STOCKS – AAPL, CVX, XOM
Macro – SPY, QQQ, XLF
- Exxon Mobil May Fall Another 17%
- Critical Resistance – Audio/Transcript
- Stocks Hovering Below Important Levels
- Stocks Rise Looking For Trends
- My Portfolio Breakdown -Entry Spots
- When Adjusting For Growth The S&P 500 Is It Most Expensive In 40 Years
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN AAPL
Stocks were mostly higher today, with the S&P 500 rising about 50 bps, and the Nasdaq 100 rising by 1.4%. Despite the strength, markets were unable to advance beyond some significant levels of resistance that were needed to extend the gains. Instead, the indexes failed at those levels and reversed lower.
NASDAQ 100 (QQQ)
The Q’s increased to the April trend line but were unable to retake that uptrend. Instead, they turned lower. It is the second time the Qs have tried to move above the trend line in recent days. It suggests that the trend line may permanently be broken, and an indication that the broader direction of the market has likely seen a momentum shift.
S&P 500 (SPY)
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 gave up a significant portion of its gains after failing to push past resistance at 3,425.
The financials had a horrible day with the XLF dropping over 1%. Some negative commentary out of an industry conference from the big banks sent the group lower. The XLF has been struggling and has been moving sideways outside of the wedge, and it appears more and more likely the next move here is lower.
The move lower started today, around the time that Apple concluded its big event. Overall, not too exciting and nothing that wasn’t expected. I’m not sure if investors were holding out hope of a new iPhone, but they didn’t get it. Once the event was over, the stock and the market started its drift lower. The stock has been struggling to advance past the $115.70 level.
Exxon Mobil (XOM)
Exxon Mobil has been crushed in recent weeks, and I think it likely has further to fall. Layer that in with some bearish bets, and it could be a recipe for a further decline, with the chance to fall to $31. (Premium content – Exxon Mobil May Fall Another 17%)
Chevron looks just as bad as Exxon with the potential for CVX to fall to $67.
Anyway, have a great day.
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.