Subscribe to receive this FREE daily commentary directly in your email
[widget id=”text-23″]
Amazon and Apple May Rise; Nvidia, Alibaba, JD, Banks May Fall
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN SHARES OF APPLE, NETFLIX, VISA, AND MASTERCARD
[widget id=”text-19″]
[widget id=”wordads_sidebar_widget-55″]
S&P 500 (SP500, SPX)
The stock market fell slightly on Monday with the S&P 500 dropping by about 60 basis points. The index has had some difficulty rising above the 2,772 level on several occasions over the past two days. But if we are to looking for a silver lining, it is that we did not retest Friday or Thursday’s lows and that the S&P 500 is slowly trending higher.
Yields (TLT)
Yields on the US 10-year are stubbornly staying elevated and hovering around its uptrend. We must continue to watch this.
Dollar (DXY)
The dollar index continues to decline and is not confirming the move in higher in yields. It would suggest that yields are likely to fall.
Gold (GLD)
Gold is sometime a hedge against risk. It has moved slightly higher in recent days, but some of that may also be related to the weaker dollar. It may continue to rise a bit further to around $1,270.
Amazon (AMZN)
If turn to leadership in the stock market, we can start with Amazon, because it shares were hit early in the day but recovered nicely. The excellent news is that Amazon has now tested support two times at the $1,740 level, on Friday and today. Most important is that the support level held firm. As long as Amazon can keep its price above that support level, then the bull case continues to grow stronger, and an increase back to $1,900 could be in the cards.
Apple (AAPL)
Apple also fell hard today by more than 2%, but again the good news here is that stock continues to hold support at $217 a big positive. It would seem there is a big buyer there. I wonder who it could be :). I do not know. But could it be Berkshire? I have no clue, but the stock has been firm at that level. Since the end of August, it has only momentarily dipped below that support.
Mastercard (MA)
Mastercard got fell and had some difficulty getting above resistance at $203. Staying above the previous lows is critical.
Visa (V)
Visa’s chart looks like that of Mastercard. Looking at this chart more closely would suggest that the stock could fall back to around $136. But again, that is still higher than the previous lows.
Netflix (NFLX)
Netflix is due to report results tomorrow, and the stock is also holding firm at its support around $333. What happens with the results? I do not know. My guesstimate based on my gut and analysis of Google Trends suggests that the company beats its guidance of 5 million new subscribers easily. I looked the option again, and I really do not see any sign of a big bet either way. Additionally, the chart doesn’t help much to predict fundamental results.
Unlock Deeper Insights with Exclusive Member-Only Video Content on The Market Chronicles YouTube Channel – Just $34.99/Month
11:09
Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join
Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624
#sp500 #stocks #stockmarket #cpi #fed #qqq #spy #rates
Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
0
YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuNDQyRkxBcld2N3c
13:59
Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join
Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624
#sp500 #stocks #stockmarket #cpi #fed #qqq #spy #rates
Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
2
YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuaGRQOC10a295Vmc
11:17
Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join
Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624
#sp500 #stocks #stockmarket #cpi #fed #qqq #spy #rates
Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
2
YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuVVdHeldSQWpkOTg
Nvidia (NVDA)
Nvidia is fighting to hold its lows of last Thursday around $235. If it can’t those lows then it likely falls to around $217.
The way that RSI is trending, I think $217 is better than a 70% chance.
Banks (BKX, XLF)
I was going to review the banks. But what am I suppose to say? They are going lower. I have been saying it for weeks. I’m sorry, but this hasn’t changed. They are still going lower.
JD
JD.com is nearing its downtrend. The RSI is just grinding lower and would suggest that the stock fall to around $20.
Alibaba (BABA)
Same for Alibaba.
-Mike
Photo Credit Via FlickrÂ
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.
spx, sp500, nflx, amzn, aapl, yields, baba, jd, ma, v, bkx,
Subscribe to receive this FREE daily commentary directly in your email
Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
Liquidity Strains Persist Creating Dangerous Market Back Drop
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles 6 hours ago