This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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Amazon, Exact Sciences, and Bitcoin Are Poised To Fall – Daily Commentary
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S&P 500
Like I said yesterday, the S&P 500 was nearing a breakout, and it did today rising over 2,807, closing at 2,810.
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Tesla
After having a mild pullback yesterday, Tesla is making its assault on $350 and appears once again ready to break out. The trend in Tesla continues higher, as news spreads of the Model 3 making its way to the east coast showrooms.
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Shares continue to act extremely well despite the negative news flow, and with earnings for the company likely around the corner, I’m not sure that it will get any better. The company is yet to announce when that day will be, but inevitably the burn rate and cash will be the key.
The chart below shows how short interest had been steadily increasing over the past several weeks, but has now started to decline.
TSLA Short Interest data by YCharts
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Exact Sciences
Exact Sciences shares continue to stall out below support at $49.25, and the longer they start below support, the more likely it becomes for the stock to keep moving lower. The news the other day about the new liquid-screening test for Colon Cancer, even thought in the development phase, has rattled the market.
But for now, as the chart below shows, revenue estimates have continued to trend higher, with no evidence that analysts are starting to trim the outlook. So perhaps the market is just rethinking the current valuation for the company. We will need to continue to watch this.
EXAS Revenue Estimates for Next Fiscal Year data by YCharts
Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley shares have entirely busted out, rising well above resistance at $55, after reporting solid results. Shares could be well on their to $70
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Inflation, Tesla Plus So Much More
Amazon
Amazon shares look set to fall, with the stock falling through its uptrend, and has a relative strength index reading at 76 on the daily chart. A decline to 1,190 would be about 5 percent from its current level. A fall to 1,250 offers a support region and is only a 3 percent decline. With the stock going into earnings I couldn’t see it falling 5 percent but could come into play after earnings.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin continues to fail at 11,800; it just doesn’t have enough juice left. The volume is drying up, and the RSI is heading lower. Not a good sign or setup for Bitcoin here.
Yield
Ten-year yields are now at 2.65 and seem heading even higher. 3 percent is coming.
That’s it. See ya!
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Free Articles Written By Mike:
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Why Morgan Stanley’s Stock Is Poised to Rise by 25%
Apple Poised to Gain 14%, Defying Skeptics
Exxon Mobil May Rise 20% on the Back of Surging Oil
Qualcomm’s Stock Heads to a Crossroads
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Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capial own shares of Tesla
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.
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Tags: #sp500 #bitcoin #amazon #exact #sciences #morganstanley #tesla #model3