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Wild Ride
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Equity Markets are taking a wild ride today, with the S&P 500 down by nearly one percent at one point. But there has been a bit of snap back, with a recovery off the lows. Biotech just continues to get pounded, while Technology has had a rough go as well. Apple has managed to hold despite the weak day.
The SP 500 appears fine on the chart below with no significant technical damage. All the gaps have now been completely filled, while the index is finding support comfortable in its early October trading range. It is worth noting, a new downtrend line, drawn now in red. This is the first time that has been put in; the test will come around 2,560, which way the market will go.
S&P 500 by Scorpio244 on TradingView.com
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Biotech
The damage in Biotech is notable, and I have now drawn in a new dotted yellow support line around the $320 level in Nasdaq Biotech ETF ($IBB). It is a level we have not paid much attention to in the past, but we shall now.
ibb by Scorpio244 on TradingView.com
Celgene
Celgene reports results in the morning, and analysts are looking for revenue of $3.417 billion on EPS of $1.88. More critical will be the sale for Revlimid, it lead drug. Additionally, commentary around its pipeline or Ozanimod will be critical. It is hard to say the chart has found a bottom, but it seems a bit closer.
CELG by Scorpio244 on TradingView.com
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Technology
It took awhile, but the $XLK has now moved back into its trading channel, and that is good. Now some sideways consolidation would be nice. We can also see the gap has been filled from October 19.
XLK by Scorpio244 on TradingView.com
Apple
Apple continues to hang tight, and while it hasn’t reversed course, it has broken down either. Apple is still the key to this market for now.
apple by Scorpio244 on TradingView.com
Amazon
Amazon reports tomorrow after the close, consensus estimates are is calling for revenue $42.25 billion and a loss of $0.01. Revenue is the number that truely counts, in this case. The chart looks decent, and seems to have found support. It is a much-improved picture than one we were looking at Monday.
amzn by Scorpio244 on TradingView.com
That’s all for today.
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Celgene’s Sharp Sell-Off Is Likely Overdone
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Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own shares of CELG
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.
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Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.