It isn't when the yield curve inverts that one should worry, it is when it steepens.
Author: Michael Kramer
Stocks Jump Higher On September 28 Despite Rising Inflation Expectations
Stocks jumped higher on September 28, 2023 as rates finally stopped rising, at least for now.
Stocks Bounce Around On September 27 As Rate and Oil Surge, Again!
Stocks bounced around September 27, 2023 and rates and oil continued to surge.
Stocks Plunge on September 26, 2023, As Rates Climb Even Higher
30-year rates continued to climb on September 26, 2023, as the stock market summer gains melted away.
Rates Soar To New Heights on September 25, 2023
10 and 30-year Treasury rates rip to new highs on September 25, 2023 while the options crowd pushed stocks higher.
The Stock Market Decline May Not Be Over As Credit Spreads Begin To Widen
Stocks experienced a significant decline last week, and the situation remains precarious as credit spreads are anticipated to broaden even more.
Rates Explode Higher On September 21 Tanking Stocks, But Now Its Time To Watch Spreads
Stocks fell sharply on September 21, 2023 as rates reached new cycle highs across the yield curve.
The Stock Market Bet Wrong On Fed Rate Cuts
The stock market was betting the Fed would aggressively cut rates in 2024, that isn't likely to happen.
Stocks Slump and Rates Surge Ahead Of The Key Fed Meeting
Stocks fell some on September 19, 2023 as the 5-year and 10-year rate rose to their levels since 2007 ahead of tomorrow Fed announcement..
A Big Week Lies Ahead For The Stock Market With The Fed On Deck
It will be a big week for stocks now that options expiration is over and the FOMC meeting is up next.
The Stock Market Rally May Be Over
The summer rally in stocks has succumb to higher oil, rates, and a stronger dollar.
The S&P 500 May Be Heading Back to 4,100 as Rates, Oil, and the Dollar Head Higher
The sun has set on the summer and now it is time for the markets to go back to work.
This May Be The One Of The Biggest Weeks Of The Year For The Stock Market
There will be a load of economic data this week that could make it one of the most of important weeks of 2023, ahead of the labor day weekend!
The Stock Market’s Bull Run Appears To Be Over As Flows Turn Bearish
Volatility in the stock market may pick up the week of August 21, 2023 ahead of Nvidia's big results.
Higher Rates and A Stronger Dollar Will Mean Stocks Continue To Fall
Stocks face big headwinds the week of August 14, 2023.
The Unwind Of A Volatility Trade May Cause Stocks To Fall Further The Week of August 7, 2023
The unwind of a big volatility trade may be behind this week's stock market drop and may lead to a further decline.
Rising Rates Threaten The Stock Market Rally
There will be a lot of economic data the week of July 31, which could push rates significantly higher threatening the stock market rally.
The Most Important Week Of The Summer Is Here
Earnings and Central bank meeting will make the week of July 24, 2023 the busiest of the summer for the stock market.
Option Expiration and Earnings Will Be Big Factors Driving Stocks The Week of July 17, 2023
The week of July 17, 2023 will feature big earnings reports and July Opex.
The Stock Market Bet On Rates Falling, It Bet Wrong
Stocks bet on rates falling, and that looks like the wrong choice at this point.