This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
Otherwise, enjoy the column!
Subscribe to the Monster Stock Market Commentary to get the Weekly Monster Market Commentary and join the 3,342 subscribers getting it for FREE!
APRIL 7, 2020
Stocks – DIS, SBUX, NVDA, ZM
Marco – SPY
Mike’s Reading The Markets Premium Content $35/Month or $300/Year
- Finishing Phase 2, Entering Phase 3?
- Stocks Are Testing Big Resistance Levels
- Stocks Set To Rally, But Options Still Betting It Doesn’t Last
- Stocks Reach Critical Levels
- Stocks Are Jumping, Lots Of Bearish Options Betting
- Earnings Decline, Still Have Further To Fall- For The Week Of April 6
- The Next Live Webinar Will Be April 16 At 9 PM ET
- Unemployment Rate Understated, As Economy Weakens Materially
Take’em Up Tuesday became Turn Around Tuesday pretty quickly. I think the S&P 500 rose to around 2,760 and finished at 2,660, a nice intraday 3.5% plunge. Again, these rallies as sharp as they maybe can not be trusted. I don’t see any other way to put it. These are short-term rallies, in a longer-term downtrend.
With earnings estimates likely only heading lower, the S&P 500 is getting somewhat expensive at current levels. I don’t see how the current earnings picture will continue to support the S&P 500 at its current level. Premium content – Stocks Set To Rally, But Options Still Betting It Doesn’t Last
S&P 500 (SPY)
The index rose right to downtrend at 2,760, in what appears to now be a giant broadening wedge pattern with my short-term target of roughly 2,500. Premium Content – Finishing Phase 2, Entering Phase 3?
Disney looks like it may have doubled topped on the intraday chart and that likely means it is heading back to the lows around $78. Disney’s business is getting hit from every angle currently from the virus.
Nvidia reversed lower, and now it looks like it can move to that gap around $245.
Starbucks has a similar pattern, and I think it results in a similar outcome with a drop towards $60.
Zoom is getting closer to $105; maybe it gets there tomorrow.
Have a good day
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.