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July 9 – Stock mentions: SPY, NFLX, AMD, SQ, AMZN, TWTR
Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own NFLX
Stock Poised To Rise?
It was like watching paint dry on the surface with the S&P 500 finishing July 9, nearly where it started. The only good news is that after struggling most the day at 2,975, the S&P managed to break above that resistance to close at roughly 2,980.
The market feels to me like it wants to go higher. It has been consolidating sideways for about a week now. I think that the next move is higher.
Waiting
The market feels like it is waiting for something. What it is waiting for I don’t know. It could be any number of things; perhaps it is Jerome Powell tomorrow, that is when he will speak in front of the House Financial Services Committee. Will it be entertaining to watch, yes, I think it shall be. Is Powell going to say in his opening monologue that he plans to cut the Fed Funds rate by 50 bps at the July 31 meeting? Doubtful. I sense that the market will learn nothing more from Powell that it didn’t know two weeks ago.
As of right now, the “market,” based on data from the CME Group, has the odds of 2 rate cuts following the September meeting at 60%. Yes, it seems possible, but that could change following the CPI and PPI reports later this week.
Netflix (NFLX)
Netflix had a good day but fizzled by days end. NLFX keeps getting close to breaking out, and it just can’t. The RSI continues to trend higher, and I continue to believe this is a stock heading towards $400. When is the part I can’t figure out?
Square (SQ)
Square had a big day and increased above resistance at $75; I think it sets up a move to $83. I wrote a commentary in the premium area today about the breakout. I now provide audio explainers to go along with the write-ups. (See: Square’s Stock Is Breaking Out)
AMD (AMD)
AMD also had a great day rising above resistance at $32.50, and I think it could be on its way to $34.50. I noted the break out in today’s mid-day update. The mid-day update is a new audio feature I have rolled to subscribers, it a 3-minute snapshot.Â
Amazon (AMZN)
Amazon broke out today, and now the next stop is like $2025.
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[youtube-feed feed=7]Twitter (TWTR)
Twitter appears it broke a downtrend today, and an increase to $42 seems possible.
Have a good one
-Mike
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This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.