It Must Have Sucked To Have Been A Bear in 2019

This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.

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DECEMBER 23, 2019

STOCKS: AAPL, TSLA, AMD, INTC, BA

MACRO: SPY, IWM

MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN AAPL, TSLA

Did you notice that the Atlanta Fed GDPNow is now tracking fourth quarter growth at 2.3%, up from 2.1% on December 20. The next reading won’t come until January 3. Still, that is not a bad growth rate for an economy that is supposed to be in a recession at this point. Sorry, I forgot the recession is coming in 2020 now, right. I most certainly think not. 

It really must have sucked to have been a bear 2019. No recession, and even worse the equity market has rallied by more than 30%.  I wouldn’t know, I wasn’t a bear. 

S&P 500 (SPY) 

Stocks finished flat with the S&P 500 closing around close at 3,223. The path of least resistance for the index is up. There is nothing at point to suggest that the trend will change. Maybe it turns when the new decade begins, but between now and then, newsflow should continue to trickledown. It means that the no reason for the trend to change. 

S&P 500, spy

Russell (IWM)

The Russell also continues to push higher, and today it managed to rise to around 1,674 and is now trying to breaking free of resistance in that 1,673 to 1,675 region. I continue to believe that the upside in this index is to approximately 1,710. It is why I still hold my IWM calls for January expiration.

Boeing (BA) 

Boeing surged by 3% today on the news a new CEO will be taking over. I’m not sure that should make anyone feel better at this point. Typically what follows when a new CEO takes over a company is a reset of expectations, which means guidance gets cut and whole a slew of operational change. I’m not sure it will be any different for Boeing. It stands the chance things could get worse for Boeing, especially if the MAX delays carry on for longer than anyone was expecting. $339 to $340 is short-term resistance, be careful.

boeing, ba

AMD (AMD) 

AMD was up again today and shall likely continue to climb until it reaches $46.80. At least that is what the chart suggests.

amd, amd

Apple (AAPL) 

Apple is driving higher today following an upgrade out of Wedbush, which gave the stock a $350 price target. I’m guessing $291 is the next level to look for.

apple, aapl

Tesla (TSLA) 

Tesla got to $420, reaching $422. I’m not sure how much more juice is left in the battery pack for this stock, but support at $390 should be strong. Ifthe stock can consolidate around $420, then there is likely further to rise. The options betting I saw on December 18, suggested the stock rise to $427. – They did it again. 

tesla, tsla

Intel (INTC)

It looks like Intel is going to try and make that push to $64 after all this time.

intel, intc

-Mike

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.     

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