This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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June 18, 2020
STOCKS – TSLA, SHOP, PYPL
MACRO – SPY, QQQ, EWG, TLT
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- For Live Webinar On 6/18
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- Big Break Set To Happen Today
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- Uber May See A Steep Decline
- Stocks Are Set To Sink – Morning
- A Massive Week Lies Ahead For The Stock Market
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN TSLA
It was another wild trading session overnight for the futures, which were down well over 1% at one point. The S&P 500 futures fell to around 3065, only to bounce back to 3125, and now back to 3100. The moves overnight seemed extreme, and perhaps this has to do with quad witching on Friday because other markets were not this volatile.
Today we will get continuing and initial claims at 8:30 AM.
The German DAX is interesting, just look at that chart below how the index has been halted at 12,460. The index looks as if it wants to move lower and fill that gap around 11,800.
S&P 500 (SPY)
The S&P 500 SPY is trading up slightly by ten basis points. What has become clear is that the $314 region is fierce resistance, and $311 has to hold, or there may room to fall to around $306.
For the Qs, the significant level of resistance comes at $245.
10-year yields are starting to move lower, and this needs to be watched, there is the potential to push towards 65 basis points.
In the meantime, the NY Fed’s Weekly Economic Index is actually suggesting that economic trends that were positive are now turning lower again. This Index will update later today, should be monitored.
Tesla is catching a bid today after Jefferies raised its price target on the stock to $1200 from $650. The stock has been moving higher in a trading channel, with an upside to around $1,100.
PayPal saw its price target at Citi raised to $186 from $145. That is certainly not the direction I thought PayPal was headed in. For now, the stock is at the upper end of the trading range, with the potential to fall back to $156.
RBC Capital raised its price target on SHOP to $1,000 from $825. Yeah, so I just don’t know about this one anymore. The stock just doesn’t go down. I guess we will find out soon if it makes a new higher, or the stock is finally beginning to trend lower.
Well, that’s it for now.
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