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Micron’s Massive Breakout, Plus Skyworks, Lam, Biogen, Alnylam & More
The stock market was mixed on Monday, with the S&P 500 finishing the day down slightly. Technology and Biotechnology continue to be the best performing sectors in the market, with the Nasdaq Biotech IBB rising by 40 bps, and the Technology ETF XLK rising by 45 bps. The semiconductor ETF SOXX was the best performing group up another over 1 percent.
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Micron
Micron’s stock was the most prominent winner up by nearly 9 percent, with the stock eclipsing the $58 technical level we had been targeting for some time. The move higher came after Nomura raised its price target on the stock to amazing $100, nearly doubling its previous target of $55. Meanwhile, Evercore upgraded the stock to $80 from $60.
If you are a Micron bull, then the good news, is the next resistance level comes somewhere around $68.
Option volume was also very bullish today as well, with nearly 41,000 call contracts trading at the $55 strike price, an implies a breakeven price of nearly $62. Meanwhile, 30,000 calls contracts traded at the $60, and implies a breakeven price of nearly $64.
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Skyworks
Skyworks has quietly worked its way back to nearly an all-time high. So much for the Apple supercycle issues. That is likely because Skyworks continues to diversify its customers away from Apple and continues to drive earnings and revenue growth.
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Lam
Lam Research broke out, rising above its previous high, on surging volume. Could shares climb all the way to $250? It doesn’t seem outside of the realm of possibility.
Biogen
Biogen shares better find a bounce or the final nail may be put in the coffin of this stock. The stock sits on it technical support level around $280, and should this break below $275; it is likely headed another 11 percent lower, towards $250.
Alnylam
Shares of Alnylam broke out today, crossing above $139.50 its previous all-time high.
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If the old guard biotechs aren’t going to lead the group higher, other companies are going to have to pick up the slack. Today it was Alnylam, Alkermes, and Seattle Genetics turn.
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Alkermes
Alkermes has been floating above and below the $60 mark for some time, and it will be interesting to see if the stock can finally pull away to the upside. There is only a little bit of open interest at the May 2018 calls at the $60 strike price, with 1,700 contracts open. The calls cost about $5.00 bucks It is small bet, with a notional value of approximately $1.0 million, but the options are expensive with an implied volatility of nearly 48 percent. The stock would have to rise to about $65 to break even.
Seattle Genetics
Seattle Genetics is either close to a massive breakout or colossal breakdown. It looks a like a symmetrical triangle in the chart, and that would suggest a continuation of the prior uptrend. A Rise above $60 could bring the breakout.
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Charter
Charter, the cable company, is a new one for us to explore and was one of the better consumer discretionary names today. The chart has a strong set-up. We will have to keep an eye.
That’s It.
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Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own shares of SWKS, ALKS
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.
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Tags: #sp500 #biotech #technology #micron #lam #skyworks #biogen #alnylam #alkermes #charter
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Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
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