MAY 29, 2020

STOCKS – WFC

MACRO – SPY, GLD, SMH, DOLLAR

MIKE’S READING THE MARKET PREMIUM CONTENT – 

• Thinking About Where Stocks Go Next
• Nearing A Major Turning Point -Midday
• Options Bet Indicate Apple May Drop Soon
• Copper And Stocks – Morning Commentary
• DEALERS HOLDING THE S&P STEADY

Stocks are flat at this point of the day and have been bouncing around quite a bit. S&P 500 futures had been down quite a bit overnight and have managed to bounce back. It seems like volatility in the market is starting to pick up these the last few days. It is coming at a time when there is a lot of economic data coming next week, with ISM and job reports. These will be rather significant reports because they will be measured during a time that we have seen the economy largely reopen, so to some degree, it will be a moment of truth. 

So far, the regional data I have seen suggests an improvement in May over April. However, the data in May is still bad and is akin to the recession of 2008-09. So I’m not sure that it is good. Therefore the increasing amount of volatility could be a signal of some nervousness around this incoming data. Then through in the potential for what may come out against China later today, and things could start to heat up. I went back and watched a video I did in May 2019, and it seems to me that using the 2019 playbook suggests that Trump is likely to be tough on China, especially since markets are significantly higher than their March lows. 

If we should continue lower today, than the 3,000 level is likely to act as support. 

Dollar

The dollar index is starting to breakdown, so watch this closely. 

Gold (GLD)

That is helping to lift gold just a bit and could push gold back on the path towards $1800.

Wells Fargo (WFC)

Wells Fargo is moving down again today, and as I noted in a free story the stock is likely heading back to $26. Free story  – Wells Fargo’s Stock May Soon Reverse Lower

Semis (SMH)

Keep an eye on the SMH; the ETF appears to be forming a triple top on the intraday chart with a drop below $135, confirming the pattern.

That’s going to be all, have a great Friday

-Mike

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