This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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Markets
Equities had been posting modest gains until the end of the day saw a mild sell-off across the board.
Biotech continued to lead the market higher once again, with the IBB and XBI both up over one percent.
Why The Biotech Jump?
The markets seem to finally realize any changes to drug prices will come through forms of deregulation and not price control. No surprise here. Like him or not, President Trump is a free market capitalist. Price controls always seemed like the least likely scenario to us.
Action within Biotechs was more mixed than yesterday’s one-way up direction.
Rates
The yield on Treasuries remains in its recent downdraft.
Dollar
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It is beginning to look like the Dollar may be finding a bottom, with support around the 97 level. On the far right of the chart, you can see the makings of a reverse head and shoulder, suggesting we could see strengthening in the Dollar over the next several weeks.
NXP/Qualcomm
Why Qualcomm May Have to Pay $45 Billion for NXP
In the Qualcomm/NXP article, I drew a very strong argument for why Qualcomm may have to increase its bid for NXP. Valuations for the semiconductor sector (SOXX) have strengthened significantly over the past year, as the global economy has been picking up. Qualcomm has been running continuous tender offers over the past several months with each period drawing fewer shares than the previous.
AVGO PE Ratio (Forward 1y) data by YCharts
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Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital Management LLC own shares of NXPI and SWKS.
Michael Kramer is the Founder and Portfolio Manager of Mott Capital Management LLC, a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendation made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.