This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
Otherwise, enjoy the column!
Subscribe to the Monster Stock Market Commentary and join the 2,516 subscribers getting it for FREE every day!
June 24, 2020
STOCKS – MU, UBER, T, GE
MACRO – SPY, QQQ,
Mike Reading The Markets Premium Content – $35/Month or $300/Year
- One Day Hit Or Much More To Come?
- Betting On A 10% Drop In AT&T
- Tough Resistance At 3100 – Morning Commentary
- Nasdaq 100 May See A Sharp Reversal Short-Term
- Betting Indicates Facebook Falls
- The New Week Faces Headwinds – Morning
- Spiking Coronavirus Cases, What It Means – The Week Ahead
Stocks fell on June 24 by about 2.6% on the S&P 500 to finish the day around 3,050. Most of the losses came early in the session with some decent stabilization in the afternoon. The index attempted to rally into the close, but there was a nearly $4 billion sell imbalance, that crushed whatever momentum was forming, sending the index lower. But we knew this coming yesterday. Premium content – Nasdaq 100 May See A Sharp Reversal Short-Term
The S&P 500 tried to rally above 3065 on three occasions today and failed each time. Not the best sign that this was a one day hit.
The bigger problem was the trading action on the S&P e-minis because they failed at resistance about five times today. Not the greatest of signs, and could be indicating that today’s decline could continue to work its way lower, with the next significant level of support not coming until 3000. I talked about why 3050 was acting as resistance today in the midday update. Premium content –One Day Hit Or Much More To Come?
NASDAQ 100 (QQQ)
But the action in the Qs may give us the best indication of what happens next. As talked about yesterday, the ETF hit the upper end of the trading channel, and today it fell, as we expected. The question that tells us a lot about the future will be what happens when it should arrive at that lower channel trend line around $240. If it holds and bounces, the sell-off is likely over. Should we fall through it and close below that trend line, the sell-off has only first begun.
Micron is now teetering on a minor uptrend and has fallen through resistance at $49.80. The potential for that drop to $45.50 is rising.
AT&T fell sharply today, and there was ALOT of bearish betting in this on the open interest levels today. A break of $28.90 sets up a decline to $27.35. Premium content – Betting On A 10% Drop In AT&T
Uber got walloped today, and I think this business model struggles in this new coronavirus world. Eats won’t be enough for them. I first noted bearish betting in the stock on June 15, and I still think it falls to around $28.30 Premium content- Uber May See A Steep Decline.
Finally, if GE manages to fall below $6.50, there is a pretty good chance, it goes back to $5.50.
That will be all
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.