Stocks Are Falling On July 30 Ahead Of Massive Economic Data and Earnings

This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.

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July 30, 2020

Stocks  – MU, GE, DIS

Macro – SPY, QQQ, IEF, COPPER

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Stocks are pointing lower today, with the S&P 500 futures lower by more than 1%. Meanwhile, Germany is falling by about 2%, along with weakness across most of Asia, which gave back earlier gains. 

There will be a lot of important economic data this morning with the big second-quarter GDP print, and initial claims. Estimates for GDP are a decline of 35% annualized, while initial claims are forecast at 1.388 million. Germany saw its second-quarter GDP decline by 10.1% versus last quarter, which was worse than estimates for a 9% drop. Additionally, the unemployment rate came in better at 6.4% versus forecasts for 6.5%. 

S&P 500 (SPY)

The significant critical level to watch in the S&P 500 is around 3,200, which gives the index plenty of room, currently trading at 3,220. 

NASDAQ (QQQ)

The NASDAQ futures are in a tighter spot, with very little room to spare. Should the futures fall below 10,400, the Nasdaq would have successfully broken the uptrend, and that is likely to trigger much more selling. 

10-Year

The 10-year yield is falling to 55 basis points, and that is a technical level as it has served as support multiple times. I fear breaking this level sends yields sharply lower. 

 

Copper

Copper prices are essential too, and as long as we stay above $2.87, we should be ok, but a break of $2.87, opens the selling flood gates, and that is bad for the risk-on sentiment. 

Micron (MU)

Micron is sitting on support today around $49.80 with a break of that trigger the stock can decline to $45.50. (Mike’s premium content – Bets Pile Up Micron Falls As Much As 10%)

Disney (DIS)

Disney is very close to falling below support at $114.60, which would trigger a decline to around $109. 

Boeing (BA)

Boeing is again testing support around $165, with a break of that support level resulting in a decline to $154.

 

-Mike

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.   

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