Stocks Are Heading Lower on September 10 Ahead of The ECB

This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.

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September 10, 2020

STOCKS – REGN, GILD, VRTX

Macro – SPY, DXY

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Dollar (DXY)

Stocks are trading lower this morning ahead of the ECB rate announcement. While it isn’t likely to yield much in the way of a change in stance, it could be heavy in jawboning regarding the recent strengthening of the euro. If that is the case, then there is a good chance we see the euro weaken, as the dollar strengthens in the days and weeks ahead.

The dollar index has continued to struggle to break out at the 93.50 level, but I do feel that it is likely to change significantly if the language out of the ECB is strong enough.

S&P 500 (SPY)

The S&P 500 is indicated to open down about 50 bps at the moment, and the late day sell-off and failure at resistance around 3425 opens the door to a retest and move lower back 3,320, to fill that giant gap. I’m not sure if it all happens today or over the next few days, but I think in general, at this point, the mood of the market has shifted lower.

Gilead (GILD)

Gilead hasn’t been particularly strong lately, and a break of support at $63.75 is likely to send the stock to around $62. Even though the RSI is near oversold levels, I think the stock falls some more before finally bottoming out.

Regeneron (REGN)

Regeneron has been very weak lately as well, after breaking its uptrend. It likely means that the stock is heading lower to around $515.

Vertex (VRTX)

Vertex has been very week recently, as it approaches support at $263. A break of $263 sets up a further drop to its next support at $245.

Ok, that’s all for now.

Mike

 

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.   

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