This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
Otherwise, enjoy the column!
Subscribe to the Monster Stock Market Commentary and join the 2,481 subscribers getting it for FREE every day!
Stocks – DOCU, AMZN, ROKU
Macro – SPY
- Can AMD’s Bloated Valuation Get Even Bigger?
- A Correction May Be Imminent
- We Should Start Our Next Move Thursday
- These Things Tend To End When Least Expected – Week Of December 7
- The Rising Wedge
- Weak Job Growth Should Revive Double Dip Worries
- VIX Giving A Warning Sign?
- Bearish Trends Mount On DocuSign, As Investors, Await ISM Report – Morning 12.3.20
Stocks were mixed on Monday, with the S&P 500 finishing down about 20 basis points, while the QQQ ETF finished higher by 60 basis points. The market received a boost in the final few minutes, which allowed it to rally back by around 30 basis points.
Overall, nothing dramatic took place in the markets, with some consolidation after a big move higher. Newsflow is really light, with the focus mostly around another round of stimulus, again.
I think we are currently in the middle of a giant rising wedge pattern in the S&P 500, and if that is the case, then we should be getting ready for a rather sharp move lower here. There are so many gaps that need to be filled at lower levels we could see the index drop to as far as 3,200 to 3,300.
If you want to really see something, check out this rising wedge pattern off the March lows. It is present in the RSI too.
Amazon stock is struggling, despite everyone in the world know they will have a killer holiday season. Its already been priced into the shares. Now, could the stock break out and soar ahead of the already known? I guess anything is possible. But the shrinking volume and negatively sloping RSI suggest it isn’t likely. I’m watching for a break below $3,100 to drag in more sellers and push the stock lower.
I’m not sure why Roku keeps going higher; its valuation is nuts, along with volume that is drying up and an RSI going in the wrong direction. Good luck with that; it won’t be pretty when it breaks.
DocuSign fell today and has completed its gap fill from its post-earnings jump. The stock has failed three times at resistance around $246. I guess that means we will have to wait and see if this overvalued stock rises further or fall; my guess is lower.
That’s gonna be all for a sleepy Monday.
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.