This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
Otherwise, enjoy the column!
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December 3, 2019
Stocks: AAPL, TSLA, MU, BABA, NVDA
Macro: SPY
US Markets
- S&P 500 Futures -8.75 points
- US 10-Year 1.79%
- VIX 15.58
- Oil $56.10
- Dollar Index 97.81
International Markets
- Japan -0.64%
- HK -0.20%
- SK -0.38%
- China +0.31%
- UK -0.99%
- Germany +0.54%
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN AAPL AND TSLA
Reading The Market Premium Content –
- Video Topic Form For Posting Questions
- What A Return To Global Growth Means For 2020
- Stocks Slammed On Weaker ISM Report
MACRO
Here we go again, lets twist and turn headlines, and make something out of nothing. Trump’s comments on trade, at least based on my memory, do not sound any different than what we have heard in the past. Regardless, the futures are trading only slightly lower today on headlines; Trump wants to wait until after the elections to make a deal, which is not exactly what I heard when I saw the video. Whatever…
There have been plenty of negative headlines going back and forth over the past few weeks, but the market didn’t care. We’ll see just how much the market cares today.
Regardless, is there a surprise here? I told you last week the market was overbought, I told you over the weekend we were likely heading lower towards the uptrend, and I told you last night we were going to likely fall to around 3,080. My crystal ball didn’t know that Trump or anyone was going to make comments. But what was clear was that the market was overbought and needed to come down. Are the negative headlines the trigger? Sure. Does it change the fact the market is merely giving back from overbought levels? No. So let’s forget the BS headlines and move on.
The next level of support for the S&P 500 comes at 3,080, and then again around 3,040, which would fill the gap created on October 31.
STOCKS
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Apple (AAPL)
Apple is falling some today, and support for the stock is at $260 and $255.
Tesla (TSLA)
Tesla is trading slightly higher today after Piper raised its price target on the stock to $423 from $372. Not sure why they pick a number like $423, and not something like $425, but whatever. There is still that giant gap to fill up to $353. Well, see if we can get there with the market “turbulence” ahead.
Micron (MU)
Micron is moving lower, and it appears it will be retesting support at $45.50.
Alibaba (BABA)
Alibaba isn’t likely to have a good day, and the stock traded down to 192HKD in HK, overnight, and that is likely where it is going here in the US and is on its way to $188.
Qualcomm (QCOM)
Qualcomm is falling below $82, and that could be a terrible sign that shares have further to fall, and the road to $76.50.
Have a fun day
-Mike
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.