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What A Bear Steepener Could Mean For The Market
CPI Day Live Replay 9.10.24
CPI Preview and Potential Impacts
November 5
Stock mentions: MU, SPLK, SNAP, SHOP, GILD
MACRO- SPY, SMH
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN SPLK
S&P 500 Look Worn Out
Stock’s had a day, and that could be because the S&P 500 (SPY) is simply running out of steam. There are a bunch of gaps that needed to be filled on the chart, and maybe its time for those gaps to get filled. The first significant gap comes at around 3,060, and then another at 3,030. It is undoubtedly nothing serious by any means, but it is worth noting and would at least suggest to me that patience is needed in the days ahead, and chasing stocks higher at this point may not be wise.
Stocks Above Their 50-Day
Again, the number of shares above their 50day moving average continues to be at the very high end of the range, and it too supports the notion that a short-term pullback is in store.
Semis Are Toppy
Semiconductor stocks also look overbought at current levels, with an RSI at 70 and declining levels of volume. It suggests to me the SMH is likely to pullback perhaps to around $129.
Micron Stands Out
I did note today that Micron (MU) is starting to see some bullish betting suggesting that MU rises into the low to mid-’50s. The chart is supportive of such a move too. The stock appears to have plenty of technical support in the $48 to $48.75 region. Premium content: Micron Is Breaking Out
Shopify Looks Ugly
Shopify (SHOP) does not look healthy to me at all. I talked about today in the mid-day audio file. But the most glaring thing on the chart is the rising volume the last two days as the stock as fallen, a telltale sign of sellers stepping into the name. I’d be careful, $285 may be closer than you think. Premium content: Momentum Stocks Are Under Pressure
Snap’s Post Earnings Run Is Over?
Snap (SNAP) did not have a good day falling by about 3.5%. SNAP hit resistance and is now at risk of declining. I did observe some buying of the November 15 $13 puts. It seems like a long-shot on the surface, and more like a cheap directional bet, the stock falls. Snap’s stock can move quickly, as we all know. $13.60 is the next significant level of support.
Splunk Nears A Big Break Out – I Own
Splunk (SPLK) is very close to a big break out at $123 that could get the stock moving back to $133. Again, I talked about this one earlier today. Premium content: Momentum Stocks Are Under Pressure
Gilead Looks Very Sick d
Gilead (GILD) continues this never-ending period of consolidation. The good news is the days are number. The triangle is converging, the downtrend and the support level will soon meet. I’m scared for $56.
Have a good one
-Mike
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.