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12:20
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This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
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YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEudUVOOVg5YXpmU0E
11:40
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This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
2
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12:29
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This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
2
YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEucnppazN0OGg1S3M
November 5
Stock mentions: NXPI, NFLX, UBER, SNAP, SHOP
MACRO: EWJ, EWY, SPY, XLI, XLB, IWM
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN NFLX AND NXPI
US Markets
- S&P 500 Futures +6.75 points
- US 10-Year 1.82%
- Dollar Index 97.65
- Oil $56.96
- VIX 13.01
International Markets
- Japan Nikkei +1.76%
- KOSPI +0.58%
- HSI +0.49%
- Shanghai +0.54%
- DAX +0.11%
- UK +0.34%
MACRO
KOSPI
The South Korea Kospi is powering higher, and as I noted yesterday in my mid-day commentary and my premium video yesterday, one can not underestimate the signal that global stocks are sending. It is powerful when all the markets around the world are rising, and it means that the strength in the US market is not alone. It is a powerful statement.
Japan
The Nikkei, although a very long way from its all-time highs from 1989, the index is very quickly approaching its 2018 highs.
DAX
The DAX is very close to returning its highs as well.
Again, the strength in the US markets and the S&P 500 is not contained in only the US; it is a global event. It is a compelling statement.
S&P 500 (SPY)
However, with that said, the S&P 500 has led the charge higher, and the index is getting overbought here, and it needs to cool before making its next move higher. The RSI on the S&P 500 is now at 70.
Meanwhile, the number of stocks trading above their 50-day moving average is now at the upper end of the range.
As is the number of stocks above their 200 day moving average.
It would suggest to me that the recent rally we have seen in the SP 500 is likely overbought and needs a minor pullback or cooling period. What we don’t want is a repeat of January 2018.
Industrial (XLI)
The industrial ETF is nearing a massive break out, so much for the group being in recession. Maybe that is about to end.
Material (XLB)
The XLB Material ETF could be heading back to $61.15.
Russell 2000 (IWM)
This is where the Russell has failed the last several times. It may not need to consolidate some before breaking out again.
STOCKS
NXP (NXPI)
NXPI is rising this morning, and it is still facing resistance around $121.
Shopify (SHOP)
Shop finds itself in a precarious spot, with a pretty big downtrend in front of it.
Netflix (NFLX)
Netflix is trading lower this morning on a note by ISI, saying that app downloads are weak so far in the fourth quarter. Perhaps, app downloads aren’t the best way to track this anymore? I thought everyone was using Roku to watch Netflix now? I mean, isn’t that why Roku stock has gone to the moon? I am being sarcastic. Yet, people are scalping tickets to see the Irishman in New York City. Well, see… I think the stock continues its trend higher to $300.
Uber (UBER)
I’m shocked that Uber is trading down. How many times do we see the options guys making big bets get it so wrong? Not often. These guys bought another 24,000 January $34 calls yesterday. I don’t know. Be careful down here, and watch for a bounce higher. RTM SA premium content; More Bullish Options Betting On UBER
SNAP (SNAP)
Snap is nearing resistance at $15.50. Well, have to watch this one closely.
-Mike
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
The Stock Market May Be At Peak Valuation - Advanced Topics
Mott Capital's Market Chronicles June 13, 2025 2:08 PM