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June 10 – Stock mentions: SPY, AMZN, TSLA, GILD, QCOM, SQ, NVDA, BYND
Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own shares of TSLA
S&P 500 (SPY)
The stock market continued to rally, and the good news is that I think it shall continue. Again, one has to wonder just how big of a part tariffs ever played in the stock market sell-off. The tone out of President Trump this morning in his dial-in phone call to CNBC did not sound as if everything was going great with China. I don’t know that we can call the near 5.5% rally in the S&P 500 since last Tuesday anything other than Fed-related. It certainly isn’t China-related that is for sure. Consider that since June 4 the Shanghai composite is also down over 2%. It also was not a coincidence that the market sold off following the Fed’s last meeting on May 1.
I think most of the steep declines we saw in May had potentially a lot more to do with the Fed than with China or tariffs. Again, I think tariffs will have a minimal impact on the US economy; I can’t say the same for China.
The only thing I’m left wondering at the moment is the path which the S&P 500 will take. At this point, I’m not sure, but I do think that the S&P 500 is heading towards 2,915. I talk about it more in today’s video commentary: Stock Market Continues To Power Higher
Of course, there is always the risk of that unfilled gap at 2,850 getting filled too, so let’s not get overconfident just yet.
Amazon (AMZN)
Amazon has managed to lay my fears to rest and has risen above resistance at $1850 and the downtrend. It sets up a potential rise back to $1,960
Tesla (TSLA)
Tesla is also on the rise after breaking above resistance at $205 and sets up the potential for a move higher to $225. I covered both Amazon and Tesla in my premium write up today. Why Tesla And Amazon May Rise Further
Gilead (GILD)
Gilead looks like it about to take its next leg lower, towards $56.
Qualcomm (QCOM)
Qualcomm is challenging resistance at $70. The RSI is now trending higher and I think that sets this stock up to retest to fill the gap at $76.50
Square (SQ)
I have reserved my comments on Square because I have not had a good sense of the trend. But it seems the stock is breaking out and could test resistance at $75.
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[youtube-feed feed=7]Nvidia (NVDA)
For now, Nvidia has hit resistance around $150 and failed; we will see what happens tomorrow before making the next call.
Beyond Meat (BYND)
I wrote up a story on Beyond Meat today; I think the stock is poised for large drop to around $100. You can that RSI has turned lower, and the stock appears to be forming a descending triangle, plus look at that large gap to be filled. Short Sellers May Be Piling Into Beyond Meat
That’s all for today.
-Mike
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Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.