Stocks Drop Then Pop During Manic Trading Session
Silhouette of people having fun on a roller-coaster in an amusement park at sunset. Adrenalin concept.

Stocks Drop Then Pop During Manic Trading Session

This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.

Otherwise, enjoy the column!

Subscribe to the Monster Stock Market Commentary and join the 2,533 subscribers getting it for FREE every day!

MARCH 25, 2021

STOCKS – AAPL, SQ, AMZN

MACRO – SPY

Mike’s Reading The Markets (RTM) Premium Content – FREE 2-WEEK TRIAL

MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN AAPL

The stock market had a pretty wild day; it was a tale of two trading sessions. The morning was pretty ugly, with sellers coming in at 7 AM, knocking the futures down. The afternoon was a straight melt higher. Very hard to determine if today was a turning point in the market or not. Based on the outside factors like the dollar, yields, and commodities, the market’s direction should still be lower.

Today’s rally felt like big implied volatility, short-covering rally that started at 2:30 PM when the VIX started to drop, giving the S&P 500 a massive boost into the close. However, the rally stopped right where it was supposed to at 3,920 and turned slightly lower going into the close. I have extended my drawing and marks from the chart yesterday to include a 5 wave count lower. If the count is right, then today’s rally will be retraced lower, and today’s low is also likely to be taken out. It doesn’t mean tomorrow, but in the days ahead.

To have come all this way and to not fill the gap at 3,830 would seem strange. Again, that doesn’t mean it has to happen tomorrow, but I do think that is likely to happen.

The call volume was in line with yesterday’s, so it did not see a jump despite the big bounce-back in the equity market. The S&P 500 will struggle to rise if the momentum from call activity doesn’t return soon.

Apple (AAPL)

Apple had a good day, but the chart looks terrible on the Intraday, and I think it will still fill that gap down at $116.

Square (SQ)

Square keeps knocking on the $200 door, but won’t go through it. Everything about the chart suggests it does go lower. I don’t know when.

Amazon (AMZN)

I also still think Amazon is going lower to $2,670.

Anyway, I had a busy day; sorry for keeping it short today.

-Mike

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.