September 29, 2020
STOCKS – MU, ZM, AMZN
Macro – SPY, QQQ,
- More Negative Signs For Micron Ahead Of Results
- Stocks Still Held Below Critical Resistance
- The Bears Need To Take Back Control
- Don’t Fight The ECB – Morning
- 7 Themes For The Week Of September 28
- RTM Live Webcast 9.24.20 – Replay
- Risk Aversion Rising – Midday
- More Derisking Taking Place
S&P 500 (SPY)
Stocks fell on September 29, with the S&P 500 and the QQQ ETF falling by approximately 50 bps. The S&P 500 failed to advance beyond the 50-day moving average again and held the downtrend.
The move lower in the S&P 500 this afternoon seemed to correspond with an accelerated sell-off in the corporate bond ETF LQD around 3 pm. Think wider spreads between corporates and treasury rates, risk aversion.
NASDAQ 100 (QQQ)
The Qs continue to struggle to advance beyond $277.
Micron reported better than expected fourth quarter results, but first quarter guidance appeared to very light of expectations. The company sees earnings of $0.47 at the mid-point of the range, and revenue of $5.2 billion, with margins of 27.5%. Estimates had been for earnings of $0.69, on revenue of $5.3 billion, and margins of 32.5%.
Now before the pandemic, my instinct suggests Micron would be trading pretty sharply lower on this guidance. Times are crazy, and the stock is flat. I highly doubt that the stock survives tomorrow being flat. I still happen to think you will see $45.50, maybe not tomorrow, but relatively soon.
Zoom shares are holding on to support at $465. That RSI seems to suggest that Zoom is likely heading to $425.
Amazon doesn’t look super strong, with the stock failing around resistance in that $3,160 to $3,175 region. I still think this stock has further to fall. Maybe that comes after a break of $3,100.
That’s it got to run.
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