Stocks Failed To Rally, Is It Time To Worry? Nah...Probably Not Yet

Stocks Failed To Rally, Is It Time To Worry? Nah…Probably Not Yet

This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.

Otherwise, enjoy the column!

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April 9, 2019

Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own Apple

Michael Kramer owns IWM Calls

Do polar bears count as bears for the stock market, or can it only be a brown bear? What about a Grizzle bear? These are the topics I wish there was more focus on. What kind of bear is the type that wall street refers too? That polar bear cub looks really cute and hardly looks scary.

Trade wars with Europe? Really? Isn’t that like so 2018? The IMF’s slowing growth forecast? Gee, thanks for telling us what we already know. Shocker! But the bear, that is something we can debate.

S&P 500 (SPY)

As for the S&P 500, yeah that didn’t work out quite like how I expected.  Doesn’t the market know I am never wrong? It decided today I should be wrong, and my hopes of a sharp rise vanished. That’s how it goes. Is this the start of a significant downturn? The uptrend I pointed yesterday, and the ascending triangle I noted is broken.  The most significant risk at this point is that giant gap from early last week that needs filling, which could lead to a pullback in the index to around 2,830. Outside of that, I don’t see anything direr at this point. The upside continues to point to an increase to about 2,915.


S&P 500, spy

Russell 2000 (RUT)

For now, the Russell is holding support around 1,562, but I could see it falling to around 1,535. Again, nothing cataclysmic. Certainly, that won’t be good for my options, but I have time.



AMD fell somewhat sharply today and it likely still has some further to fall, perhaps to around $25.90 or so. I read a great story today about AMD beating up on Intel CPU’s.

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Roku is now teetering on support at $59, with the potential to fall to around $52. I wrote a story today on why I think it does drop $52.  Will Roku’s Stock Fall Even Further?


Amazon (AMZN)

Amazon briefly broke above $1850 but pulled back on its first go ’round. So we will have to see if the stock can manage to break through should there be a second attempt.

amazon, amzn

Apple (AAPL)

Apple had a pretty big turnaround mid-day after being up all morning. At this point, there is not enough to say that the stock is finished rising. $209 still seems likely.

apple, aapl

Snap (SNAP)

I wrote up an article talking about why I think Snap may continue to rise over the short-term. For now, $13.20 seems to be the upper limit. Snap Sees Bullish Options Betting


I apologize, I feel like today’s write-up was rather dull. But that’s how it goes some days.

Maybe tomorrow will be better!


Photo from flickr

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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