Stocks Rise Sharply On April 6, Now We Waiting For Confirmation
Stocks rose sharply on April 6 and may have broken a critical level of resistance on the S&P, but now we need to confirm this tomorrow.

Stocks Rise Sharply On April 6, Now We Waiting For Confirmation

This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.

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APRIL 6, 2020




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Stocks ran higher on April 6, with the S&P 500 jumping by about 7%, a significant gain. There seems to be some optimism that the curves are flattening. It appears to be happening in some parts of the world, like Italy, Germany, and Spain, it may be too early to get excited here in the US. The chart below clearly shows that the number of new cases is now falling in those three countries, but they are good 2 to 4 weeks ahead of the US. While I most want this to pass as soon as possible, I am cautiously optimistic and fear the market is getting ahead of itself.

The chart clearly shows that both Italy, Germany, and Spain had two waves in it. While I am most certainly not a Doctor or Statistician, I can read charts exceptionally well, and that seems clear as day to me, the double tops. So we can hope and pray, but let’s be careful still.

(Johns Hopkins)

S&P 500 (SPY)

The S&P 500 was able to clear what I think was an essential level of resistance around the 2,630 regions, and that could suggest that we likely test 2,725. I’m not sticking my neck out here, though; we need to see confirmation that and follow through tomorrow. I was seeing a lot of bearish options betting on the S&P 500 and VIX, as I pointed out in the morning audio commentary for paying subscribers. Stocks Are Jumping, Lots Of Bearish Options Betting

S&p 500, spy

On the daily chart, we see that both the RSI and the advance/decline line appear to have broken a downtrend, barely. So again, tomorrow, we will need to see a confirmation and follow through.

S&P 500, spy

Apple (AAPL)

Apple reached resistance at $257 today, and was also able to poke above it. Again, with confirmation tomorrow, it could probably rise to around $275.

apple, aa

Visa (V)

Visa rose sharply, reaching resistance at $170. I’m not sure the stock gets back over resistance tomorrow. If not, it falls back to $150.

visa, v

Amazon (AMZN)

Amazon was able to get back to resistance today at $2000 and is where it stopped going up.

amazon, amzn

Texas Instruments (TXN)

Maybe a good indicator of where things are going to go is Texas Instruments, the stock also rose just above resistance today, and again, if we get a follow-through tomorrow, it can probably go to $115.60.

texas insturments, txn

Alibaba (BABA)

Alibaba needs to get over $197, or its risks going right back to $187.

alibaba, baba

Have a good night; lets hope things start to get better.


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