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June 22, 2021
STOCKS – GS, UPS, FDX, FCX
MACRO – SPY,
- RTM Morning – Turnaround Tuesday?
- RTM Morning Note- Expect Volatility To Pick Up
- RTM Short-Term Trade Idea- Micron
- Tactical Update – Everything May Have Just Changed
- Live Session Starts At 1 PM Sharp
- RTM – LET’S GET READY, RUMBLE
- RTM – Reflation Trade To Come Under Pressure After FOMC
- The Live Session Will Be On June 18 At 1pm
- RTM- Rates Are Unlikely To Rise, Thanks To The ECB
Stocks rallied today, with the S&P 500 up by 50 bps, taking the index back to where it was before the Fed. Overall, nothing has really changed, it just seems like moves from last week were sudden and violent, and for the most part, the market seems to be reverting to some degree. Can it continue to push higher, I suppose, as long as the reflation assets can rebound further. However, I’m not sure how much further they can rise because bonds and many spreads are still weak.
S&P 500 (SPY)
The S&P 500 futures may have completed a wave B today, which means that we will likely see a reversion lower the rest of the week back towards Friday’s close.
Goldman has not rebounded along with the broader S&P 500 index. The stock has done nothing and remains in a downward trend. Maybe the reflation trade for the banks is over; it sure seems that way. It certainly would make sense if that were the case. The region around $350 appears to be really important, and if it breaks, Goldman’s stock has quite the distance to drop.
Freeport has been on the rebound from last week’s pounding. As a result, the stock probably has a good chance to rise back to resistance at $36.50.
UPS can still rise a little bit more; maybe it gets back to $210.
FedEx got back to its 50-day moving average, and that is where it stopped. The 50-day is a big resistance area for now, so any hopes for a further advance will weigh on that moving average.
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