This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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September 22, 2020
STOCKS – AAPL, AMZN, NFLX
Macro – SPY, QQQ, EWG, EWY
- This Is A Different Sell-Off
- The Market Has Little To Support It
- The Second Leg Lower – Morning
- 10 THEMES FOR THE WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 21
- Nvidia May Drop 15% More
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN AAPL
Stocks are rebounding some this morning with the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) up around 35 bps, certainly not the strongest of rebounds following the sell-off the past couple of sessions. Meanwhile, the NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQ) trading up to around $270 or 90 bps.
S&P 500 (SPY)/ NASDAQ 100 (QQQ)
This shouldn’t be confused with some significant rally attempt by the market, this seems more like a bounce than anything else, and we will find out very quickly after the open if the sellers come back. It seems likely that once we get past the open, we will see the sellers return and work to fill the gaps lower.
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Resistance on the Qs is around $272, with a push beyond that price likely helping to fill the gap up to $275. Meanwhile, the SPY could quickly rise to $330, and that is likely where it fails, with resistance at that price.
Germany is rising today by about 1% but struggling to get past resistance at 12,700.
South Korea (EWY)
Meanwhile, the South Korean Kospi was smashed, falling about 2.4% and below that significant uptrend off the March low, and closing right above the 50-day moving average.
Amazon has a gap that needs to be filled around $3,100 before making its next turn lower.
Meanwhile, Netflix is rising today, but I don’t expect it to get much beyond $495.
Apple is trying to rally past resistance $110. Even if it does, $115 will be a challenging level for the stock, and I still think this one is heading lower still to around $96.
Have a good day.
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.