October 7, 2020
STOCKS – AMZN, NFLX, JPM, FCX
Macro – SPY
- Biden’s Lead Over Trump May Not Be As Big As It Seems
- Stocks Come Close To Breaking, But Not Yet
- Stocks Will Test Resistance
- How To Find Technical Trends And Levels
- APPLE’S STOCK FACES FURTHER LOSSES BASED ON OPTIONS BETTING
Stocks are rebounding some this morning with the S&P 500 ETF up 70 bps, and the Qs up 50 bps, after President Trump said he would sign standalone bills for stimulus. This all seems like a game so that each side can blame each other. I sincerely doubt anything gets done before the election.
S&P 500 (SPY)
When we can see when looking a bit closer at the charts that the S&P 500 futures are struggling around the uptrend, we fell below it late in yesterday’s trading session. Perhaps a quick recovery can invalidate yesterday’s late move lower.
I am still very much of the mindset that prices have further to fall from here, but we can see how today goes; the one thing you do not want to see as a bull is the index’s inability to hold that uptrend.
Amazon got a big price target boost from Benchmark to $3,800 from $3,675. The stock has been stuck in this $3,100 to $3,200 since the middle of September. I still think this one that is going lower, back towards $2,800.
Netflix had its price target raised to $650 at Pivotal Research fro $600. That is a new street high price target too. There is a downtrend that has formed in Netflix, with a potential descending triangle. The big test won’t happen until the stock gets back to $525.
JPMorgan has caught a bid in recent days as yields have increased, but to this point, it has been unable to retake the uptrend it broke below in mid-September. The stock likely struggles until it can break above what appears to be tough resistance around $105.
Freeport may struggle to advance, especially if the dollar continues to strengthen. The big make or break level remains at $14.90.
Have a good day.
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