Home » Technology Rotation Continues – Silver Linings Emerge

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Technology Rotation Continues – Silver Linings Emerge

Technology Rotation Continues – Silver Linings Emerge

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Job Report Impacts

October 4, 2024 2:08 PM

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NFP Live Zoom Replay 10.4.24

October 4, 2024 9:07 AM

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Jobs Report Preview

October 3, 2024 2:43 PM

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There is no doubt that investors are getting excited about a corporate tax cut that is on the horizon. You can see it just by looking at the sector performance; it is clear as a beautiful day in Montauk on the eastern end of Long Island, overlooking the Block Island Sound.

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XLY Price Chart

XLY Price data by YCharts

Where is money flowing for the moment? From Technology into Industrials and Financials. Here are the effective tax rates of the “FANG’s” Facebook ($FB), Apple ($AAPL), Netflix ($NFLX) and Alphabet ($GOOGL). Notice how I omitted Amazon ($AMZN), more on that in a minute.

GOOGL Effective Tax Rate (TTM) Chart

GOOGL Effective Tax Rate (TTM) data by YCharts

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It looks like Apple’s effective tax rate is the highest there at about 24 percent, how much do you think Apple benefit from a tax cut? Not much.

From the chart Amazon below we can see the tax rate they pay is pretty much all over the place, along with the operating and net income.

AMZN Effective Tax Rate (TTM) Chart

 

AMZN Effective Tax Rate (TTM) data by YCharts

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Industrials

Then there are the Industrials, like Boeing ($BA), 3M ($MMM), Union Pacific ($UNP), General Dynamics ($GD), FedEx ($FDX) which pay very high levels of Tax.

BA Effective Tax Rate (TTM) Chart banks industrials

BA Effective Tax Rate (TTM) data by YCharts

Banks

The banks also pay high effective tax rates as well.

JPM Effective Tax Rate (TTM) Chart

JPM Effective Tax Rate (TTM) data by YCharts

So money is merely rotating right now, eventually, when valuations get sorted out over the next couple of days and weeks, things should start evening out again.

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Technology Tested

If there is one piece of good news that came out of yesterday is that support levels have been tested and have held for now. We can see that the uptrend in the technology ETF ($XLK) held its uptrend.

Technology

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MasterCard

While stocks like Mastercard, which got slammed, are still within its trading channel.

mastercard

Amazon

Amazon stayed above its support level too.

amazon

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Micron

While Micron found support at a gap which has now been filled circled below.

micron

The rotation is still on, for now…

 

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Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Capital own shares of NFLX, MA, GOOGL

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Tags: #banks #technology #industrials #tax #reform #fedex #ups #citigroup #amazon #micron #mastercard

 

 

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